| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82° to 83° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° to 81° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 78° to 79° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 84° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° to 77° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest temperature observed in Atlanta on March 23, 2026 will be. It matters for traders assessing short-term weather risk and for anyone interested in how day-to-day weather variability plays out in a major city.
Late March in Atlanta is a transitional spring period driven by the clash of lingering cool air masses and early-season warm surges from the Gulf; single-day highs can vary substantially depending on frontal timing, cloud cover, and mesoscale features. Historical March 23 observations show variability from cool, cloud- and rain-limited days to markedly warmer, sunny days when an upper-level ridge or southerly flow is present.
Market odds aggregate participants' views about which temperature bin will be observed, reflecting available forecasts, observations, and models; they will change as new weather information arrives. For final resolution, follow the market's stated data source and rules rather than odds alone.
The market resolves according to the event's resolution text; most temperature markets reference an official NOAA/NWS reporting station (often the Atlanta official station named in the event). Check the market page for the exact source and station that will be used to determine the official maximum.
The event's resolution rules specify the local calendar date/time window and any rounding or reporting conventions. If the page does not list special rules, the typical convention is the official daily maximum reported by the selected station for the local 00:00–23:59 period; always confirm on the market's rule text.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific temperature value or temperature range shown on the market page; the single outcome that contains the official recorded maximum (as defined by the resolution source) will be declared the winner. Review the outcome labels and the resolution criteria before trading.
Tie-breaking, rounding, and discrepancies are handled according to the market's resolution procedures—these may specify which observation takes precedence or whether refunds/applicable tie rules apply. Consult the event's resolution terms for the definitive procedure.
Watch the National Weather Service forecasts for Atlanta, surface observations from the named reporting station, high-resolution guidance (e.g., HRRR, NAM), global models (GFS, ECMWF), radar and satellite for cloud/precip timing, and short-term mesoscale updates that affect cloud cover and frontal timing.