| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 86° to 87° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° to 81° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 84° to 85° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 82° to 83° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 88° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which temperature range will be recorded as the highest temperature in Atlanta on March 21, 2026. It matters for traders and observers because daily maximum temperatures reflect short-term weather dynamics and can be influenced by broader seasonal patterns and extreme events.
Late March in Atlanta sits in a transitional season where warm Gulf moisture, spring frontal systems, and occasional cold intrusions all compete, producing high variability from year to year. Historical records and climatology provide context for what is typical on this date, but individual synoptic setups (frontal passages, ridges, or remnants of tropical systems) determine the actual daily maximum.
Market odds aggregate real-time information and participant expectations about which temperature range will occur, and they update as new forecasts, observations, and model runs become available. Interpret them as the market’s collective snapshot of expected outcomes at a given moment, not a fixed truth.
Settlement will use the official observing station specified by the market; if the market does not name a station, the primary National Weather Service/NOAA official station serving Atlanta (commonly the primary airport station) is typically used — consult the market rules for the exact designated station.
The record will be taken for the calendar day March 21, 2026 in the station’s local time zone (midnight to midnight local time), using the maximum temperature value published by the designated data source for that date.
This market uses six predefined temperature outcome buckets; the precise numeric cutoffs for each bucket are listed on the market page — always check that page for the authoritative outcome definitions before trading.
Settlement generally relies on authoritative sources such as the National Weather Service/NOAA observational reports or the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) daily summaries; the exchange’s published settlement rules specify the priority of sources and any contingency procedures.
If the primary station’s data are flagged as invalid or unavailable, the market’s settlement rules usually call for alternate validated nearby stations or official corrected datasets (as provided by NOAA/NCEI); consult the exchange’s contingency and adjudication rules for the exact process.