| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70° or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $25K | Trade → |
| 68° to 69° | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| 66° to 67° | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| 64° to 65° | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| 62° to 63° | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| 61° or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
This market asks which of six predefined outcomes will contain the highest temperature observed in Atlanta on March 2, 2026. It matters because it aggregates information from traders and forecasts to form a continuously updated view of expected weather for that specific date and location.
Daily-maximum temperature markets are anchored to official surface observations and are influenced by large-scale weather patterns such as fronts, surface high/low positions, and atmospheric moisture. Atlanta's climatology in early March can vary from cool, late-winter conditions to unseasonably warm spells, so historical variability and recent trends both matter for this date.
Market odds reflect the collective assessment of participants about which temperature range will be observed; they should be read as a real‑time signal of betting interest and information flow rather than a deterministic forecast. For exact resolution mechanics consult the event's rules, which define the data source and observation window used to determine the outcome.
The market resolves to the official observing station and data source specified in the event rules; check the market's resolution criteria for the designated reporting site (for example, a National Weather Service station or other named station).
The event rules define the observation window used for 'Mar 2' (commonly the local midnight-to-midnight daily period at the designated station); confirm the precise timezone and window in the market's resolution section.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific temperature range listed on the market page; review the outcome labels on the event page to see the exact boundaries used for resolution.
Resolution procedures for missing or questionable data are set in the event's rules and typically describe fallback sources or adjudication methods; consult that section to see how exceptions are handled.
Volume is a measure of trading activity and liquidity on the event; higher volume generally means tighter spreads and more participants contributing information, but it does not guarantee forecast accuracy—always combine market signals with meteorological sources.