| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° to 69° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 64° to 65° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 66° to 67° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 63° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which predefined temperature outcome will be the highest recorded in Atlanta on March 19, 2026; it matters to traders, weather-sensitive businesses, and anyone tracking short-term climate variability. Market prices summarize collective expectations about that day's observed maximum temperature as reported by the contract's official data source.
Late winter/early spring in Atlanta can produce a wide range of temperatures because of shifting frontal boundaries, Gulf of Mexico air masses, and variable sunshine. Long-term warming trends and urban heat-island effects influence local readings, but day-to-day outcomes are dominated by synoptic weather patterns and mesoscale events on the calendar date. The contract’s resolution hinges on the specific official observation station and reporting rules defined by the platform.
Market odds indicate how participants currently distribute belief across the available temperature outcomes; they change as new forecasts and observations arrive and should be interpreted as a real-time consensus signal rather than an absolute forecast.
The contract will resolve based on the official data source named in the market terms on the platform; that is typically a National Weather Service/NOAA-reporting station assigned to metro Atlanta (the contract text specifies the exact station and dataset), so check the market’s resolution clause for the definitive source.
Resolution follows the time window defined in the contract’s rules—often the local calendar day (00:00–24:00 local time) for the specified date—but you should confirm the exact measurement interval in the market description before trading.
The market resolves after the official observation for March 19 is published by the designated data source and the platform completes its verification checks; the contract will state any standard verification delay, so consult the market page for the timeline.
A frontal passage (bringing cold air), an unseasonably strong warm advection episode, a heavy cloud/precipitation event that limits daytime heating, or the presence of a mesoscale convective system can all materially change the day’s maximum temperature and thus the market outcome.
Instrument type (e.g., ASOS/automated sensors), placement (airport tarmac vs. urban park), maintenance, and subsequent quality-control adjustments can alter the official recorded maximum; the market uses the value published by the specified source after any routine corrections reported by that source.