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Climate and Weather OPEN

Highest temperature in Atlanta on Mar 18, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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Yes Bid
Yes Ask
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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
55° to 56° 0%
$0 Trade →
51° to 52° 0%
$0 Trade →
53° to 54° 0%
$0 Trade →
59° or above 0%
$0 Trade →
50° or below 0%
$0 Trade →
57° to 58° 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks traders to predict the highest air temperature recorded in Atlanta on March 18, 2026. It aggregates expectations about that day's peak temperature, which is useful for short-term planning and assessing near-term weather risk.

Mid-March in Atlanta is a transitional period when temperatures can swing from cool to warm depending on the presence of cold fronts, ridging, or warm-sector advection; average daily highs for the region in mid-March are typically in the low-to-mid 60s °F. Official daily maximums are usually derived from a designated observing station (commonly the airport/NWS station) and are subject to the data and reporting practices of the authoritative weather agency.

Market prices reflect collective beliefs about which discrete outcome (temperature range or value) will be realized for that date; they should be used alongside operational weather forecasts and observed conditions rather than as the sole forecast.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What authoritative source will determine the official 'highest temperature in Atlanta on Mar 18, 2026' for this market?

The market will resolve to the value published by the event's designated authoritative source as specified in the market rules—typically an NWS/NOAA daily summary for the official observing station. Consult the market's rules page to confirm the exact data source and station used for settlement.

What time period defines 'Mar 18, 2026' for this market's highest-temperature measurement?

The date is normally interpreted as the local calendar day for Atlanta (Eastern Time) from 00:00 through 23:59:59 local time; the market's resolution rules specify whether local standard or daylight time conventions apply and the exact window used for the observation.

How are the discrete outcomes structured and what does each outcome represent?

This market uses a fixed set of outcomes (six in this instance), with each outcome representing a specified temperature range or value as defined in the event description; review the event page to see the exact outcome bins and their boundaries before trading.

When will the market resolve after Mar 18, 2026, and how quickly are payouts processed?

Resolution typically occurs after the designated authoritative source publishes the official daily maximum—often within a day or two—but the precise timing for final settlement and payout is governed by the market's settlement policy, which is available on the event page.

If the authoritative source issues a post-publication correction or an instrument error is discovered, how does that affect settlement?

Settlement follows the authoritative dataset and any final revisions that the source applies within its published correction window; the market's rules explain how post-publication corrections, retractions, or adjustments by the data provider are handled for final resolution.

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