| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49° to 50° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 47° to 48° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 45° to 46° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 44° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature range will be the highest recorded in Atlanta on March 17, 2026; it matters because short-term temperature outcomes encapsulate weather risk that affects travel, energy demand, and event planning. Traders and observers use such markets to aggregate expectations about near-term forecast uncertainty.
Atlanta in mid-March sits in a transition season where day-to-day highs can swing substantially depending on the position of the jet stream, presence of frontal systems, and cloud cover. Forecast models, National Weather Service advisories, and mesoscale features (like convection or urban effects) all contribute to the expected range of high temperatures for a given day.
Market odds aggregate participants' views about which temperature bracket will occur, updating as new model runs and observations arrive; they are a real-time signal of collective expectation rather than a fixed physical measurement.
The event will be resolved using the specific official data source named in the market terms; this is typically an NWS/NOAA reporting station designated in the event description, so check the market rules for the exact station and dataset.
Most weather markets use the local calendar day for the location in question (Atlanta local time, Eastern Time), covering 00:00 to 23:59:59 on March 17; confirm the market's rules for any alternate definitions.
Outcome categories, rounding, and inclusive/exclusive endpoints are specified in the event listing; consult the outcome definitions in the market page to see how a measured maximum maps to one of the six choices.
Resolution typically occurs after the official daily summary containing the maximum temperature is published by the designated observing authority; the platform will apply the market's resolution rules once that official value is available.
Mid-March often features large swings driven by late-winter cold frontal intrusions or early spring warmings; the strength and timing of the jet stream, recent soil moisture, and short-term model guidance are especially relevant when anticipating a particular day's high.