| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° to 66° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 63° to 64° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 62° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest air temperature recorded in Atlanta on March 16, 2026 will be; it matters to traders and observers who want to express views on short-term weather outcomes and to those tracking seasonal variability.
Atlanta experiences large day-to-day temperature swings in March due to passage of mid-latitude fronts and variable spring sunshine; long-term warming trends have shifted seasonal baselines but daily outcomes remain driven by synoptic weather patterns. Forecast models, surface observations at official stations, and local microclimates (urban heat island effects, elevation differences) all influence the realized daily high.
Market odds aggregate participants' expectations about forecasts, model uncertainty, and observation protocols; use them as a concise read on collective expectations rather than exact meteorological forecasts, and always check the contract's settlement rules for definitive measurement details.
Settlement is based on the data source and observing station specified in this market's contract. Kalshi markets typically reference official National Weather Service / NOAA observational products (for example an ASOS or COOP station), but you must check the specific contract text on the event page to confirm the exact station and data feed used for settlement.
The contract specifies the applicable clock for the date (commonly local calendar date at the official reporting station). Verify the market's settlement rules to see whether times are quoted in local time, local daylight saving time, or UTC and whether the high is taken from a 00:00–23:59 day or from a specific synoptic period.
The market will follow the contingency and quality-control rules listed in the contract. Typical approaches include using a proximate official station, using the first verified observation flagged by the data provider, or applying the data provider's quality-control adjustments — check the event's settlement procedures for the exact fallback rules.
This market's outcomes correspond to mutually exclusive temperature brackets defined in the contract (each bracket covers a particular range of degrees). Consult the event page or contract details to see the exact numeric boundaries assigned to each of the six outcomes.
Settlement timing is specified in the contract and usually occurs after the official data release that the contract references (which may be later the same day or after data validation). Check the event's settlement schedule to know when final outcome and payouts will be determined.