| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65° to 66° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 62° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 63° to 64° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which discrete temperature outcome will be the highest recorded in Atlanta on March 13, 2026; it matters for traders who want to express views on short-term weather and for anyone tracking seasonal weather variability in the region.
Atlanta's daily maximum on a given date reflects the interaction of large-scale weather patterns (air masses and fronts) with local effects like urban heat island and elevation. Historical late-winter variability in the Southeast means outcomes can swing from cool, showery conditions to unusually warm, sunny days depending on synoptic setup.
Market prices summarize participants' aggregated expectations about which outcome will occur given current information; prices can move as forecasts, observations, and risk sentiment change in the lead-up to and immediately after the target date.
Settlement will follow the specific data source and station named in the event description; for most Atlanta temperature contracts this is the designated NOAA/NWS station or a clearly specified official dataset—check the event page to confirm the exact station or product used.
The market settles once the official record for Mar 13 is published and any verification window required by the event rules has passed; the event page lists the settlement policy and the expected lag based on the cited data provider's publication schedule.
Tie-breaking depends on the event's settlement rules: some contracts reference a single designated station, while others specify how to handle multiple stations or tied values—consult the event rules for the precise tie-breaking procedure.
Whether post-publication corrections affect settlement depends on the event's stated policy; many markets use the final archived official record and will follow any corrected values if the event rules allow revisions, so check the event description for that rule.
Developments that favor high temperatures include sustained southerly flow bringing warm air, early clearing or prolonged sunshine during the daylight hours, absence of rain or cloud cover, and a lack of frontal intrusions until after the afternoon peak.