| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68° to 69° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° to 75° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature bin will contain the highest observed temperature in Atlanta on March 12, 2026; it matters for weather-sensitive businesses, event planning, and traders hedging temperature risk.
March in Atlanta can produce a wide range of outcomes from cool, front-driven days to unseasonably warm conditions; short-term synoptic setups typically drive day-to-day extremes. Participants should consider both the current seasonal context and any active weather systems that could affect the Southeast in the lead-up to March 12, 2026.
Market prices here represent the crowd's real-time assessment of which temperature range is most likely to occur; they update as forecasts, observations, and new information arrive. Treat prices as a consensus signal to inform decisions, not as a guaranteed prediction.
The platform sets the market close time; check the market page for the official close. The observation period is typically the local 24-hour day for March 12 (midnight-to-midnight local time) as defined in the market's resolution rules—confirm the exact window on the event page.
The market's resolution section should name the specific data source and station used (for example an NWS/NOAA station or NCEI daily record). If the event page does not specify, contact the platform for the designated official source before trading.
The six outcomes correspond to temperature intervals (discrete bins) shown on the market page; each outcome covers a contiguous range and outcomes are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. Verify the exact bin edges and any rounding rules on the event description so you know which bin contains a given temperature.
Resolution follows the platform's stated rule for delayed or revised data—common approaches include waiting for the final archived value from the designated authority or using a specified fallback dataset. The market may remain open for resolution until the official value is available; consult the event rules or platform support for specifics.
Monitor deterministic and ensemble model trends (e.g., major global models and short-range ensembles), frontal timing and surface pressure patterns, cloud and precipitation forecasts, surface station observations and trends, and upstream temperature advection—these elements directly affect daytime maximum temperatures in Atlanta.