| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $4.7 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $4.9 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $5.1 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $5.3 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $5.5 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $5.7 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $5.9 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $6.1 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $6.3 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $6.5 trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which reported value will be recorded as Germany's nominal GDP for 2026; nominal GDP matters because it captures both changes in real output and the price level, and it shapes perceptions of economic size, revenues, and fiscal capacity.
Nominal GDP equals real economic activity multiplied by the price level, so movements reflect a mix of growth and inflation. Germany's economy is export- and industry-heavy, and recent years have been shaped by pandemic effects, supply‑chain disruption, energy shocks, and inflationary episodes that altered both output and price dynamics. Those historical dynamics and ongoing global conditions will shape the 2026 nominal reading.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which discrete outcome or range the official 2026 nominal GDP figure will fall into; treat prices as a snapshot of market beliefs that can change as new data and events arrive.
Settlement is based on the official nominal GDP figure for 2026 as specified by the market's resolution rules; consult the event page or market rules to see which statistical agency or publication (designated source) will be used for settlement.
The 10 outcomes represent discrete bins or ranges of possible nominal GDP values; the event page lists the precise boundaries and which bin is considered the winning outcome when the official figure is published.
Closing time is listed as TBD on the event page; settlement generally occurs after the designated official release is published and the market operator confirms the final figure according to the market's resolution rules—check the event page for updates.
Key near‑term movers include quarterly GDP releases (preliminary and revised), CPI and other inflation indicators, industrial production and trade/export reports, major fiscal announcements, and energy‑market developments; national (Destatis) and eurozone (Eurostat) releases are especially relevant.
Statistical revisions are common; the market settles to the value from the designated source and date specified in the rules. If multiple publications exist or revisions occur, the resolution procedure in the market rules explains which version governs—review that section before trading.