| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the preliminary year-over-year (YoY) inflation rate for Germany, a critical indicator of the health of Europe’s largest economy. It serves as a sentiment gauge for market participants assessing the purchasing power and economic stability within the Eurozone's leading nation.
Germany's inflation data, released by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), is a primary driver for European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy decisions. The index measures the change in prices for a standardized basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. As a major exporter and industrial hub, German price levels are highly sensitive to global energy costs, supply chain fluctuations, and domestic wage growth.
The market prices reflect the collective expectation of traders regarding the consumer price index, with higher or lower brackets representing broader consensus on inflationary pressure.
The preliminary figure is an initial estimate released by Destatis based on data from several federal states, which is typically finalized shortly after; this market settles based on the first official release.
The ECB targets an inflation rate of 2% over the medium term; when actual inflation trends above or below this, the central bank adjusts interest rates, which indirectly influences future inflationary pressure.
By early 2026, economists will be looking for signs of long-term price stabilization following the volatile post-2020 economic period.
Housing, electricity, gas, and fuels typically carry the highest weighting in the German Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), followed by transportation and food costs.
This market tracks the initial 'preliminary' release as specified; subsequent revisions to the data by the Federal Statistical Office do not typically alter the settlement of the market.