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Economics OPEN

Germany inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026

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Total Volume
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Open Interest
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Active Markets
15
Markets
15

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All Outcomes (15)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Above 2.6% 0%
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Above 2.7% 0%
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Above 2.8% 0%
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Above 2.9% 0%
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Above 3.0% 0%
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Above 3.1% 0%
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Above 3.2% 0%
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Above 3.3% 0%
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Above 3.4% 0%
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Above 3.5% 0%
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Above 3.6% 0%
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Above 3.7% 0%
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Above 3.8% 0%
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Above 3.9% 0%
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Above 4.0% 0%
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About This Market

This market predicts the preliminary year-over-year inflation rate for Germany in April 2026 as reported by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). Inflation figures serve as a critical barometer for the health of Europe's largest economy and directly influence European Central Bank monetary policy.

Germany's inflation is heavily influenced by energy prices, supply chain dynamics, and domestic wage growth within the Eurozone framework. As a major industrial hub, Germany is uniquely sensitive to external commodity shocks and fluctuations in global demand. Policymakers monitor these preliminary releases closely to adjust interest rates and fiscal stimulus measures accordingly.

Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders regarding where the headline Consumer Price Index will land for the specified reporting period.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the source of truth for this market?

The official data is released by Destatis (the Federal Statistical Office of Germany) in their preliminary monthly report.

Does this market measure the final or preliminary inflation rate?

This market specifically tracks the preliminary (flash) estimate for April 2026, which is usually published shortly after the end of the reference month.

How does the ECB's inflation target affect this specific outcome?

The ECB targets 2% medium-term inflation; sustained deviations from this target significantly influence the economic climate leading up to the April 2026 data release.

What happens if the preliminary report is later revised?

The market outcome is determined by the preliminary headline YoY figure published by Destatis, regardless of subsequent revisions made in later reports.

Why is the German April 2026 inflation figure globally significant?

Germany accounts for a substantial portion of the Eurozone's total inflation weight, meaning its data often dictates the trajectory of overall European monetary policy.

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