| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Loomer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Star Black | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jeff Criswell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Elvis Casely | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jennifer Strahan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| John Cowan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Shawn Harris | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jason Anavitarte | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Chuck Hufstetler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Colton Moore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kasey Carpenter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Katie Dempsey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Marcus Flowers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Clarence Blalock | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Holly McCormack | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Martin Momtahan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tyler Paul Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Eddie Lumsden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Matt Barton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Trey Kelly | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Uloma Ekpete Kama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Rob Ruszkowski | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Nicky Lama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tom Gray | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Brian Stover | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jim Tully | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Clayton Fuller | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jim Davis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jonathan Hobbs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market lets traders express expectations about which candidate will be certified as the winner of the GA-14 special election. It matters because the outcome determines who fills the vacant seat and provides a real-time signal about local voter preferences.
The special election in Georgia's 14th seat was called to fill a vacancy and uses Georgia's election rules for special contests. District demographics, recent election returns, and whether a runoff is required have shaped the candidate field and campaign strategies for this contest.
Market prices reflect the collective judgment of participants based on available information and update as new data arrives. They should be read as a dynamic consensus signal, not an immutable prediction.
The market resolves based on the candidate who is officially certified as the winner by Georgia election authorities according to the exchange's settlement rules; resolution timing follows official certification and any required runoff certification.
If Georgia law requires a majority and no one achieves it, a runoff between the top two vote-getters will be held and the market will typically settle on the candidate certified as the winner of that runoff per the platform's rules.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific declared candidate in the GA-14 special election; an outcome resolves as 'winning' only if that candidate is officially certified as the election winner.
Rapid price changes reflect traders updating beliefs in response to new information—polls, turnout reports, endorsements, fundraising disclosures, or breaking news—not guarantees of final results.
Settlement follows the official, final determination outlined by Georgia election authorities and the exchange's dispute/settlement policies; prolonged contests or recounts can delay final settlement until certification or judicial resolution is complete.