| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the preliminary Year-over-Year (YoY) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate for France during the first quarter of 2026. As a primary indicator of economic health, this metric reflects the overall output and vitality of the French economy.
France, as the second-largest economy in the Eurozone, is subject to fluctuations driven by consumer spending, industrial production, and trade policy. Preliminary estimates, often provided by INSEE, are critical data points for investors monitoring the stability of the European economic bloc. The Q1 2026 reading will be evaluated against long-term structural trends and the broader European monetary policy environment.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of economic performance, where higher prices reflect traders' beliefs that growth will fall within a specific, higher range.
The primary source for this data is typically the Institut national de la statistique et des études économiques (INSEE), which releases the first estimate of quarterly GDP growth for France.
YoY growth compares the economic output of Q1 2026 to the economic output of Q1 2025, providing a longer-term view of growth than quarter-over-quarter comparisons.
Preliminary estimates are based on initial data collection and may be subject to revisions by INSEE as more comprehensive administrative and survey data becomes available later in the year.
Q1 figures provide the first quarterly economic outlook for the new year, often setting the tone for annual forecasts and influencing business investment decisions for the remainder of the calendar year.
Yes, GDP growth figures reported by national statistics agencies like INSEE are typically expressed in 'real' terms, meaning they are adjusted for inflation to reflect true economic expansion.