| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above -0.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above -0.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above -0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above -0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the preliminary quarter-on-quarter GDP growth rate for France in Q1 2026 as reported by INSEE. GDP figures are critical barometers for the health of the Eurozone’s second-largest economy and directly influence monetary policy and investor sentiment.
France’s economic performance is heavily influenced by domestic consumption, industrial output, and broader European trade dynamics. As a member of the Eurozone, the French economy remains sensitive to European Central Bank interest rate decisions and energy price fluctuations that impact business investment and household spending. Tracking quarterly growth allows analysts to assess the country's trajectory toward fiscal sustainability and long-term structural targets.
The odds reflect the collective anticipation of how macroeconomic conditions—such as inflation, trade, and consumer demand—will manifest in the official preliminary growth figures.
The data is derived from the preliminary quarterly report issued by INSEE (Institut national de la statistique et des études économiques), France's official statistics agency.
Preliminary estimates are based on early indicators and partial data; they are subject to subsequent revisions by INSEE as more comprehensive information becomes available in later months.
No, this market settles based specifically on the initial preliminary release for Q1 2026, regardless of any later data corrections.
Energy costs directly influence both industrial production overheads and household disposable income, making them a significant volatility factor for French quarterly growth.
Q1 data sets the momentum for the fiscal year, providing early insights into how the economy is adjusting to year-end changes in monetary policy or tax regulations.