| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Moskowitz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charlie Crist | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josh Weil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alexander Vindman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joey Atkins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Angie Nixon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jennifer Jenkins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hector Mujica | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which person will be the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate from Florida; it matters because the nominee determines the party's general-election challenger and reflects intra-party strength ahead of the statewide contest.
Florida is a large, politically competitive state where statewide name recognition, fundraising, and regional turnout patterns strongly shape Senate contests. Nomination processes (primary dates, possible runoffs, and candidate filing/withdrawal timelines) and national attention can accelerate or reshape the race.
Prices in this market represent collective, real-time expectations about which listed option will be the certified Democratic nominee; they move as polls, fundraising, endorsements, and campaign events change the perceived standing of candidates.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific option listed on the Kalshi event page (typically individual candidates and sometimes an 'Other' option); the market will resolve to whichever listed option is the certified Democratic nominee for the Florida U.S. Senate seat.
Closure and resolution timing are set by the market operator and typically occur when the state or party officially certifies the Democratic nominee (after primaries, runoffs, or party procedures); Kalshi will update the event with a firm close date once the resolution condition is defined.
The market resolves to the person officially certified as the Democratic nominee; interim events like withdrawals are reflected in price movements, but the final outcome depends on the official certification process specified by the market rules.
Statewide polling releases, major fundraising reports, high-profile endorsements, debate performances, credible reports of candidate withdrawal or scandal, and legal or procedural developments affecting ballot access are the most likely drivers of price changes.
Use the market as a real-time indicator of how informed participants value each candidate relative to one another, and pair it with polls, fundraising tallies, endorsement calendars, and local reporting to build a fuller picture of the campaign dynamics and likely nomination path.