| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fentrice Driskell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| David Jolly | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jerry Demings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shevrin Jones | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jason Pizzo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daniella Levine Cava | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gwen Graham | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Angie Nixon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will be the Democratic nominee for governor of Florida; it matters because the nominee defines the general election field and shapes party strategy and fundraising in a high-profile statewide race.
Florida is a large, diverse, and politically consequential state with a recent history of competitive statewide contests. Control of the governor's office affects state policy on issues like healthcare, education, and election administration, and it can influence national politics given Florida's electoral importance.
Prices in this market represent how traders update beliefs as news, polls, fundraising, and endorsements arrive; they are a continuously updating aggregation of available information rather than a fixed prediction.
The market will settle to the candidate officially recognized as the Democratic nominee by the appropriate authority (typically the Florida Democratic Party or state certification). Check the market description and settlement rule notifications for the exact certification source KALSHI will use.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; KALSHI will announce the specific close time and any suspension windows. The market typically remains open through the period when the nominee is not yet officially certified and will close or settle based on the operator's published schedule and the official certification date.
If a listed candidate withdraws or is disqualified, KALSHI will post market notices detailing whether that outcome is removed, marked void, or remains but treated as a losing outcome; resolution follows the exchange's rules and any official withdrawal filings or certifications.
If the party uses a convention, delegate vote, or other internal mechanism to choose the nominee, the market will follow the official result recognized by the party or certifying authority specified in the market rules; settlement will reflect that official determination.
Key movers include statewide polling releases, major endorsements (e.g., state or national party leaders), large fundraising hauls or ad buys, debate performances, candidate withdrawals or legal challenges, and unexpected local or national events that change the nomination dynamics.