| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,880 to 1,919.99 | 5% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $1,800 to 1,839.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $2,000 to 2,039.99 | 14% | 13¢ | 15¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $1,960 to 1,999.99 | 11% | 6¢ | 9¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $2,040 to 2,079.99 | 21% | 17¢ | 22¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $1,920 to 1,959.99 | 9% | 2¢ | 5¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $2,080 to 2,119.99 | 21% | 19¢ | 21¢ | — | $709 | Trade → |
| $1,760 to 1,799.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $615 | Trade → |
| $1,840 to 1,879.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $580 | Trade → |
| $2,120 to 2,159.99 | 13% | 14¢ | 18¢ | — | $311 | Trade → |
| $2,160 to 2,199.99 | 15% | 8¢ | 12¢ | — | $202 | Trade → |
| $2,440 to 2,479.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $198 | Trade → |
| $2,200 to 2,239.99 | 11% | 3¢ | 7¢ | — | $195 | Trade → |
| $2,360 to 2,399.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $153 | Trade → |
| $2,280 to 2,319.99 | 5% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $152 | Trade → |
| $1,039.99 or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| $2,680 to 2,719.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $48 | Trade → |
| $2,760 to 2,799.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $48 | Trade → |
| $2,880 to 2,919.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $48 | Trade → |
| $2,240 to 2,279.99 | 8% | 2¢ | 5¢ | — | $40 | Trade → |
| $2,400 to 2,439.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $38 | Trade → |
| $2,600 to 2,639.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $38 | Trade → |
| $2,720 to 2,759.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $38 | Trade → |
| $2,840 to 2,879.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $38 | Trade → |
| $2,520 to 2,559.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $37 | Trade → |
| $2,920 to 2,959.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $37 | Trade → |
| $2,320 to 2,359.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $35 | Trade → |
| $1,680 to 1,719.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $17 | Trade → |
| $2,480 to 2,519.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| $1,080 to 1,119.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| $2,560 to 2,599.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| $1,160 to 1,199.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| $1,560 to 1,599.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| $1,440 to 1,479.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| $2,800 to 2,839.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| $1,720 to 1,759.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| $1,600 to 1,639.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| $1,400 to 1,439.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $2,960 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $1,240 to 1,279.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $1,320 to 1,359.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $1,360 to 1,399.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $1,120 to 1,159.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $1,200 to 1,239.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $1,520 to 1,559.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $1,280 to 1,319.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $2,640 to 2,679.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $1,040 to 1,079.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $1,640 to 1,679.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $1,480 to 1,519.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of 50 discrete price bands Ethereum will fall into at 5:00 PM EST on March 6, 2026. It matters because the event captures market expectations for ETH’s spot price at a precise timestamp, letting traders express views on a narrow time-and-price window.
Ethereum’s price is shaped by a combination of on-chain developments, macroeconomic conditions, derivatives positioning, liquidity from large holders, and regulatory news; sudden news or technical events can move price materially in short windows. KALSHI’s 50-outcome format breaks the price distribution into many adjacent bands, so this market is useful for traders seeking fine-grained exposure rather than a simple up/down bet.
Market prices on each outcome reflect how traders are allocating capital across the possible price bands and thus imply relative likelihoods among those bands. Use outcome prices as a live aggregation of market sentiment, remembering they evolve as new information arrives.
The settlement price is the reference ETH spot price at the exact timestamp specified; the market contract on KALSHI lists the data source and aggregation method used to produce that reference. Consult the event’s official description for the precise exchange(s), index, and any averaging window used for settlement.
This market’s close time is set by the platform and may be listed as TBD; check the event page for the final trading cutoff. Platforms commonly close trading shortly before the settlement timestamp, but the exact policy and any exceptions are specified in the event details.
Each outcome corresponds to a contiguous, non-overlapping price band for ETH at the settlement time; the event page lists the boundaries for each of the 50 bands so you can compare how narrow or wide each band is when choosing an outcome.
Yes; any material price movement before the timestamp — driven by news, order flow, liquidations, or macro releases — can shift the realized price into a different band. Because this market settles to the spot reference at 5pm EST, events up to that moment can affect the outcome.
KALSHI’s market rules describe fallback procedures such as alternative data sources, averaging windows, delayed settlement, or arbitration in the event of data issues or disputes; read the platform’s settlement and dispute-resolution sections for the exact process that would apply to this market.