| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,980 to 2,019.99 | 21% | 16¢ | 20¢ | — | $274 | Trade → |
| $2,020 to 2,059.99 | 8% | 8¢ | 12¢ | — | $271 | Trade → |
| $1,940 to 1,979.99 | 24% | 23¢ | 26¢ | — | $262 | Trade → |
| $1,860 to 1,899.99 | 3% | 8¢ | 12¢ | — | $186 | Trade → |
| $2,100 to 2,139.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $56 | Trade → |
| $2,060 to 2,099.99 | 15% | 2¢ | 7¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| $2,180 to 2,219.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| $2,140 to 2,179.99 | 6% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $1,900 to 1,939.99 | 8% | 16¢ | 21¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $2,220 to 2,259.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $2,260 to 2,299.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $2,300 to 2,339.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| $1,700 to 1,739.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,820 to 1,859.99 | 0% | 3¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,139.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,140 to 1,179.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,340 to 1,379.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,500 to 1,539.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,540 to 1,579.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,620 to 1,659.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,580 to 1,619.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,540 to 2,579.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,660 to 1,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,460 to 1,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,780 to 1,819.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,340 to 2,379.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,620 to 2,659.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,580 to 2,619.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,300 to 1,339.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,420 to 2,459.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,380 to 1,419.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,220 to 1,259.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,460 to 2,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,660 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,500 to 2,539.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,420 to 1,459.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,260 to 1,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,380 to 2,419.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,180 to 1,219.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,740 to 1,779.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which discrete price range Ether (ETH) will be in at 5:00 PM Eastern on March 3, 2026; it matters because it aggregates market participants' expectations for ETH at a precise timestamp and can be used for hedging or short-term speculation.
Ethereum is a widely traded, liquid crypto asset whose short-term price is driven by both crypto-specific factors (network activity, DeFi flows, major token movements) and broader macro factors (risk appetite, interest rates, dollar strength). The market offers 40 outcome bins, providing fine-grained ranges rather than a single binary outcome; the current traded volume ($1,070) indicates modest liquidity relative to major financial markets.
Odds in this market reflect how participants collectively place capital across the 40 ETH price bins at the specified timestamp — they indicate relative market sentiment and implied scarcity of capital on particular ranges, not precise probabilities or guarantees; interpretation should account for liquidity, recent trading, and the market's stated resolution rules.
Each outcome corresponds to a pre-specified price range (a bin) covering possible ETH spot prices at the resolution timestamp; the winning outcome will be the bin that contains the official price used by the market’s resolution source at 5:00 PM EST on March 3, 2026. Check the event page for the exact numeric ranges and the listed price source.
Resolution will follow the platform’s published rules for this event: typically an official exchange or aggregated feed and a specific timestamp determine the spot price. The event listing should state the exact data source and any tie-breaking or snapshot procedures — consult that resolution policy for authoritative details.
Modest volume generally means shallower liquidity and wider effective spreads: single trades can move market-implied odds substantially, and market prices may be less stable. Traders should factor execution risk, potential slippage, and the possibility that posted prices reflect a small number of participants.
Yes — the winning bin is determined by the official price at the specified timestamp, so price moves that occur up to and including the resolution moment (subject to the event’s snapshot/lock rules) will affect the result. Verify whether the market uses a precise exchange timestamp, an averaging window, or other snapshot rules that could blunt instantaneous moves.
Useful indicators include recent intraday volatility patterns for ETH, intraday correlation with Bitcoin, on-chain metrics (active addresses, large transfer volume, exchange net flows), derivatives data (futures basis, options expiries nearby), and upcoming macro or crypto announcements scheduled before the timestamp; combine these to assess likely price dispersion at the target time.