| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,320 to 2,339.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,340 to 2,359.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,460 to 2,479.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,560 to 2,579.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,620 to 2,639.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,700 to 2,719.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,760 to 2,779.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,820 to 2,839.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,900 to 1,919.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,420 to 2,439.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,440 to 2,459.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,480 to 2,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,500 to 2,519.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,020 to 2,039.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,040 to 2,059.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,140 to 2,159.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,120 to 2,139.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,640 to 1,659.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,520 to 2,539.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,540 to 2,559.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,580 to 2,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,600 to 2,619.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,640 to 2,659.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,660 to 2,679.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,680 to 2,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,720 to 2,739.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,740 to 2,759.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,780 to 2,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,800 to 2,819.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,840 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,420 to 1,439.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,480 to 1,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,520 to 1,539.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,620 to 1,639.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,660 to 1,679.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,700 to 1,719.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,720 to 1,739.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,860 to 1,879.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,760 to 1,779.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,840 to 1,859.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,820 to 1,839.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,920 to 1,939.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,379.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,440 to 1,459.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,500 to 1,519.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,400 to 1,419.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,540 to 1,559.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,580 to 1,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,560 to 1,579.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,380 to 1,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,600 to 1,619.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,160 to 2,179.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,360 to 2,379.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,740 to 1,759.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,460 to 1,479.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,780 to 1,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,800 to 1,819.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,260 to 2,279.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,680 to 1,699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,400 to 2,419.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,300 to 2,319.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,380 to 2,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,100 to 2,119.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,080 to 2,099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,060 to 2,079.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,180 to 2,199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,240 to 2,259.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,220 to 2,239.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,200 to 2,219.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,940 to 1,959.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,960 to 1,979.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,280 to 2,299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,980 to 1,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,000 to 2,019.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,880 to 1,899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which USD price range Ether (ETH) will be in at 1:00 AM EDT on March 16, 2026. It matters because it provides a time‑specific market view of ETH's valuation and short‑term uncertainty tied to that exact timestamp.
Since the Merge and subsequent changes to issuance and staking, ETH price behavior has been driven by staking flows, Layer‑2 adoption, institutional product availability, and macro liquidity conditions. In early 2026, factors such as regulatory developments, product approvals, macro data, and on‑chain activity continue to be major drivers of USD ETH prices.
Each listed outcome maps to a discrete price interval at the snapshot time; market prices for those outcomes reflect aggregated participant demand for each interval. Use them as a dynamic, market‑based signal of where participants expect ETH to land at 01:00 EDT on March 16, 2026, not as a guarantee.
The market partitions the possible ETH/USD price at that exact timestamp into 75 contiguous intervals; each outcome corresponds to one interval and wins if the official settlement price at 2026-03-16 01:00 EDT falls inside that interval. The precise interval endpoints and rounding conventions are shown on the market page.
Settlement follows the market's documented procedures: a reference price is determined from the designated data source at the snapshot time, any required verification or dispute window is observed, and then the winning outcome is declared per KALSHI's timeline. Consult the event page and KALSHI's settlement documentation for the exact post‑event timing and steps.
The event's details specify the reference data source (for example an exchange or an aggregated index); that named feed is used to produce the snapshot price used for settlement. Review the market's rule section on KALSHI to confirm the exact feed and any fallback rules.
News that alters demand or supply expectations for ETH—major regulatory rulings, institutional product moves (ETF listings or redemptions), protocol upgrade announcements or critical on‑chain incidents, and macro releases that change risk appetite—are the most likely to move the market in the run‑up to the snapshot.
Participants use such range markets to express granular views about where ETH will be at a precise time: hedgers can protect exposures at that snapshot, speculators can target specific bands, and researchers can read the distribution of market prices as a snapshot of collective expectations and uncertainty for that timestamp.