| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,040 to 2,079.99 | 25% | 25¢ | 26¢ | — | $844 | Trade → |
| $2,080 to 2,119.99 | 20% | 14¢ | 20¢ | — | $377 | Trade → |
| $1,920 to 1,959.99 | 6% | 6¢ | 7¢ | — | $119 | Trade → |
| $2,120 to 2,159.99 | 14% | 6¢ | 12¢ | — | $26 | Trade → |
| $2,160 to 2,199.99 | 6% | 1¢ | 5¢ | — | $24 | Trade → |
| $1,960 to 1,999.99 | 4% | 11¢ | 15¢ | — | $20 | Trade → |
| $2,000 to 2,039.99 | 18% | 20¢ | 22¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| $1,520 to 1,559.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,480 to 2,519.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,680 to 2,719.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,640 to 1,679.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,240 to 2,279.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,760 to 1,799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,320 to 1,359.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,800 to 1,839.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,360 to 1,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,720 to 1,759.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,880 to 1,919.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,840 to 1,879.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,440 to 2,479.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,680 to 1,719.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,520 to 2,559.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,280 to 1,319.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,760 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,320 to 2,359.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,560 to 1,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,240 to 1,279.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,400 to 1,439.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,239.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,720 to 2,759.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,640 to 2,679.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,400 to 2,439.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,600 to 1,639.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,600 to 2,639.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,440 to 1,479.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,480 to 1,519.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,560 to 2,599.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,360 to 2,399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,200 to 2,239.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,280 to 2,319.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which USD price range Ether (ETH) will be in at 5:00 PM EDT on March 12, 2026. It matters because it aggregates traders' expectations for the spot price at that exact timestamp and can be used to hedge or express views on short-term ETH price moves.
Ethereum is a leading smart-contract platform whose price is shaped by both on-chain protocol dynamics and broader macro conditions. Relevant historical developments that changed supply dynamics include the EIP-1559 burn mechanism and the transition to proof-of-stake (the Merge), and subsequent upgrades and staking-withdrawal rules have influenced circulating supply and liquidity. Macro liquidity, regulatory developments, Layer-2 and DeFi activity, and exchange-level events continue to interact with those protocol-level factors to drive price.
Market odds on this market represent the collective view of where market participants expect ETH to trade at the specified timestamp; they will change as new information arrives and as liquidity conditions shift. Higher traded volume and tighter spreads generally make the market's signals more informative, but they do not guarantee any outcome.
The determining moment is 5:00 PM EDT on March 12, 2026; the specific price used for settlement will be whatever reference source and methodology the event contract specifies (single-timestamp price, exchange ticker, or defined index). Check the Kalshi event page or contract rules for the named price source and settlement method.
The 40 outcomes are contiguous USD price ranges (bins) covering possible ETH spot values at the settlement timestamp; the single bin that contains the reference settlement price is the winning outcome and pays out according to the market's rules.
If the event page does not list a source, the platform's published settlement rules describe the default feeds or indices used; if still unclear, consult Kalshi's market documentation or contact support because accurate settlement depends on the contract's defined price source.
Reported volume gives a snapshot of liquidity and informational activity to date: low volume means prices can be moved easily and may be noisy, while higher volume suggests more market consensus. Volume is a useful signal but not a substitute for reading the contract terms and monitoring news flow.
Most markets include contingency and dispute-resolution procedures: they may use alternate price sources, a time-averaged window, or formal arbitration as defined in the contract. For this specific event, review the settlement and dispute clauses on the event page to see the predefined fallback processes.