| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,990 to 2,029.99 | 23% | 22¢ | 23¢ | — | $545 | Trade → |
| $2,030 to 2,069.99 | 24% | 24¢ | 26¢ | — | $342 | Trade → |
| $1,950 to 1,989.99 | 17% | 15¢ | 16¢ | — | $91 | Trade → |
| $2,150 to 2,189.99 | 4% | 1¢ | 5¢ | — | $32 | Trade → |
| $2,070 to 2,109.99 | 16% | 13¢ | 17¢ | — | $24 | Trade → |
| $2,110 to 2,149.99 | 7% | 5¢ | 10¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| $1,910 to 1,949.99 | 5% | 5¢ | 7¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| $1,189.99 or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| $1,870 to 1,909.99 | 8% | 1¢ | 4¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $1,790 to 1,829.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,190 to 2,229.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,310 to 2,349.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,270 to 2,309.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,550 to 1,589.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,590 to 1,629.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,510 to 1,549.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,430 to 1,469.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,470 to 1,509.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,390 to 1,429.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,670 to 1,709.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,510 to 2,549.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,390 to 2,429.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,670 to 2,709.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,630 to 2,669.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,350 to 1,389.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,310 to 1,349.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,590 to 2,629.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,710 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,230 to 1,269.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,430 to 2,469.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,350 to 2,389.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,190 to 1,229.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,270 to 1,309.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,630 to 1,669.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,470 to 2,509.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,550 to 2,589.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,710 to 1,749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,230 to 2,269.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,750 to 1,789.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,830 to 1,869.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This Kalshi market asks which price range Ether (ETH) will fall into at 5:00 PM EDT on March 10, 2026. It matters because it aggregates trader views about ETH’s value at a specific moment and can reflect expectations about macro, network, and regulatory developments around that timestamp.
Ethereum is the largest smart-contract platform and its price is influenced by factors distinct from Bitcoin, including network upgrades, staking dynamics, L2 activity, and token burn from on-chain fees. Since the Merge, supply dynamics and staking flows have been important drivers; broader macroeconomic conditions and crypto-specific regulatory news also shape price moves. This market offers 40 discrete ranges to let participants express granular views; current traded volume is modest, which affects liquidity and price discovery.
Market odds show how participants are allocating capital across the 40 price ranges and therefore reflect collective expectations and risk appetite at any moment. Treat odds as a snapshot of market sentiment that can change rapidly with new information rather than a fixed forecast.
The event page and official market rules list the reference price feed or exchange used for settlement; check that field on Kalshi to see the exact data source that will be sampled at 5:00 PM EDT.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific contiguous price range with defined lower and upper bounds; the full list of ranges and their boundaries is shown on the market page so traders can choose the range they expect ETH to land in at the snapshot time.
Treatment of exact-boundary cases is specified in the market’s settlement rules—platforms commonly define whether the upper or lower bound is inclusive—so consult the event’s official rules for the tie-break procedure.
Trading and order acceptance follow the market’s posted close policy (listed as TBD here); regardless, the final outcome is based on the reference price at the exact 5:00 PM EDT timestamp and trades executed after that timestamp cannot change the recorded settlement price.
Lower volume can mean wider bid/ask spreads and greater impact from individual orders, making odds more volatile and execution more difficult for large positions; however, settlement still depends solely on the external reference price at 5pm EDT, not on market liquidity.