| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,950 or above | 95% | 95¢ | 98¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| $2,070 or above | 12% | 8¢ | 12¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $2,030 or above | 48% | 46¢ | 49¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $1,910 or above | 97% | 96¢ | 98¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $1,990 or above | 87% | 86¢ | 90¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $1,830 or above | 98% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $1,870 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $1,790 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $2,110 or above | 4% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $2,190 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $2,150 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $506 | Trade → |
| $2,270 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $443 | Trade → |
| $2,310 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $351 | Trade → |
| $2,390 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $159 | Trade → |
| $2,430 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $119 | Trade → |
| $2,470 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $87 | Trade → |
| $2,510 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $75 | Trade → |
| $2,230 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $73 | Trade → |
| $1,750 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $60 | Trade → |
| $2,550 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $56 | Trade → |
| $1,710 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,190 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,390 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,270 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,350 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,230 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,510 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,470 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,310 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,150 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,670 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,590 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,550 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,670 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,430 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,630 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,630 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,590 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,710 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what Ether (ETH) will be trading at on Mar 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT on KALSHI. It matters because market prices aggregate traders' views about short-term drivers of ETH and provide a real‑time signal of risk and sentiment.
Ethereum is the largest programmable blockchain and its price reflects a mix of on‑chain activity, protocol changes, macro conditions, and market liquidity. Key historical milestones that shape current dynamics include the Merge (proof‑of‑stake transition) and EIP‑1559, which altered issuance and fee dynamics; this specific KALSHI market currently lists 40 discrete outcomes and shows $37,968 total volume traded.
Market odds on KALSHI represent traders’ collective expectations about which outcome will be true at the settlement timestamp; they update as new information arrives and as traders rebalance positions. Use the odds as a real‑time indicator of consensus, not a guarantee of future price moves.
It refers to the reference spot price of ETH at the timestamp Mar 9, 2026 5:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time as defined by the market; consult the market description for the precise settlement definition used by KALSHI.
On a 40‑outcome market, outcomes are usually discrete price ranges or buckets that partition possible ETH prices at settlement; check the market page to see the exact lower/upper bounds for each listed outcome.
Settlement methodology varies by contract; KALSHI will specify whether they use an exchange‑weighted average, a particular spot exchange, or a licensed index — verify the market’s settlement rules to know which reference applies.
Breaking news can move market odds rapidly as traders adjust positions; settlement uses the reference price at the timestamp itself, so last‑minute moves are reflected if they affect the underlying reference price used by KALSHI.
Historical volatility, correlations with Bitcoin and macro assets, and past reactions to similar news can inform expectations, but they do not guarantee future outcomes—use them as context alongside real‑time order‑book and news signals.