| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,050 or above | 6% | 6¢ | 10¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $2,090 or above | 4% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $1,970 or above | 64% | 60¢ | 64¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $1,930 or above | 85% | 85¢ | 89¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $2,010 or above | 27% | 24¢ | 28¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $1,850 or above | 95% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $305 | Trade → |
| $1,890 or above | 95% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $79 | Trade → |
| $2,130 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $35 | Trade → |
| $1,810 or above | 0% | 23¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,170 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 76¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,450 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,410 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,530 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,370 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,410 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,330 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,490 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,290 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,770 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,490 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,570 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,610 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,210 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,530 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,730 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,690 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,770 or above | 0% | 32¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,570 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,370 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,330 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,650 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,810 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,610 or above | 0% | 25¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,650 or above | 0% | 24¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,690 or above | 0% | 28¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,290 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 76¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,730 or above | 0% | 26¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the spot price of Ethereum (ETH) will be at 5:00 PM Eastern on March 7, 2026, as offered on KALSHI. It matters because it lets traders, hedgers, and observers express views and manage exposure to a specific intraday price outcome.
Ethereum is a major cryptocurrency whose price reflects on-chain activity, macroconditions, and market liquidity; events between now and March 7, 2026 (network upgrades, macro announcements, regulatory actions) can move the price. This particular KALSHI market lists 40 discrete outcomes and has recorded $17,544 in traded volume; the stated close time is currently TBD on the market page.
Market odds and prices here represent the aggregated trading interest and conditional payoffs for each discrete outcome and update as new information arrives. They are best read as market-implied expectations and liquidity signals, not immutable forecasts.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific, mutually exclusive price bucket or tick defined in the market's rules; whichever bucket contains the reference ETH spot price at 5:00 PM EST on March 7, 2026 is the winning outcome. Consult the market description on KALSHI for the exact numeric ranges and payout for each outcome.
The market page currently shows 'Closes: TBD'; KALSHI may set a formal trading cut-off before or at the event time. Settlement occurs after KALSHI confirms the official reference price for the 5:00 PM EST timestamp according to its published settlement procedures — check the market page and KALSHI's rules for specific cut-off and settlement timing.
KALSHI specifies the reference price source and methodology in the market documentation; that can be a single exchange, an aggregated index, or another designated feed. Always verify the listed settlement source on the market page before trading.
Traded volume is a simple liquidity indicator: higher volume generally means tighter spreads and easier execution, while lower volume can lead to wider spreads and higher slippage. $17,544 indicates some activity but is modest compared with deep institutional markets, so expect liquidity and bid/ask depth to vary across the 40 outcomes.
Yes — large exchange flows, sudden news, or anomalous price prints near the reference timestamp can move the reference price and change the winning bucket. KALSHI's settlement rules (for example, averaging windows or source-specific tie-breakers) govern how such situations are handled; review those rules if you're concerned about late volatility or manipulation risk.