| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,120 or above | 31% | 34¢ | 36¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| $2,000 or above | 83% | 85¢ | 87¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| $2,080 or above | 45% | 53¢ | 56¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $2,040 or above | 67% | 71¢ | 75¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $1,960 or above | 91% | 92¢ | 94¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $1,880 or above | 95% | 95¢ | 99¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $2,200 or above | 11% | 9¢ | 12¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $2,160 or above | 18% | 18¢ | 21¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $1,840 or above | 96% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $2,280 or above | 13% | 2¢ | 5¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $1,800 or above | 97% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $1,440 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $1,920 or above | 93% | 95¢ | 97¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $2,480 or above | 4% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $2,360 or above | 7% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $1,760 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $2,560 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $878 | Trade → |
| $2,840 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $511 | Trade → |
| $2,240 or above | 6% | 4¢ | 7¢ | — | $423 | Trade → |
| $2,320 or above | 11% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $382 | Trade → |
| $1,720 or above | 95% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $324 | Trade → |
| $1,040 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $259 | Trade → |
| $1,200 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $255 | Trade → |
| $1,240 or above | 97% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $144 | Trade → |
| $2,440 or above | 5% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $136 | Trade → |
| $1,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $135 | Trade → |
| $2,800 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $80 | Trade → |
| $1,680 or above | 92% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $64 | Trade → |
| $1,360 or above | 96% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
| $1,600 or above | 93% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $24 | Trade → |
| $1,640 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $22 | Trade → |
| $2,920 or above | 6% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $22 | Trade → |
| $1,560 or above | 98% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $19 | Trade → |
| $1,280 or above | 98% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| $2,520 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| $1,320 or above | 97% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| $1,080 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| $1,120 or above | 98% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| $1,160 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| $1,480 or above | 93% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| $1,520 or above | 93% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| $1,400 or above | 96% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| $2,960 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7 | Trade → |
| $2,880 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7 | Trade → |
| $2,400 or above | 5% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| $2,720 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $2,640 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $2,680 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $2,600 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| $2,760 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
This market asks what the U.S. dollar price of Ethereum (ETH) will be at 5:00 PM Eastern on March 6, 2026; it matters because it lets traders express views about near-term crypto and macro developments and provides a real-time market-based summary of expectations.
Ethereum is a leading smart-contract platform whose price reacts to on-chain activity (DeFi, NFTs, staking) and broader macro and regulatory conditions. The market offers 50 discrete outcomes and has seen $72,499 in traded volume on KALSHI, indicating a range of opinions being priced across many possible price levels. Historical milestones such as The Merge (transition to proof-of-stake) and fee-burn mechanics (EIP-1559) continue to influence market structure and liquidity.
Prediction market prices/odds on this event represent the market-implied consensus for which discrete price outcome will be true at the specified timestamp and will move as new information arrives. They should be interpreted as a dynamic signal of collective expectations, not a guaranteed forecast.
The market resolves to the price figure defined in the event's resolution rules on KALSHI — typically the reported USD price of ETH at 5:00 PM EST on March 6, 2026 from the specified data source; consult the market's official resolution specification on KALSHI for the authoritative method and any tie-break rules.
The event page currently lists the close time as TBD; KALSHI determines each market's final trading cutoff, so monitor the market page for the announced close time and any last-minute changes to trading windows.
Each of the 50 outcomes corresponds to a precise price point or price interval as labeled on the market page; examine the outcome labels on the event to see the exact numeric ranges or endpoints that define each possible resolution.
Resolution procedures depend on the data source specified for the market; KALSHI typically uses a defined exchange or an aggregator and has rules for handling discrepancies or anomalous prints — review the market's resolution notes for the chosen source and dispute escalation process.
Watch for Ethereum protocol upgrade schedules or testnet/mainnet releases, major macro datapoints or central bank decisions in the days before settlement, regulatory rulings or enforcement news affecting exchanges or custodians, large on-chain transfers or staking policy changes, and liquidity shifts in spot and derivatives markets.