| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,050 or above | 80% | 78¢ | 80¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $2,030 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $2,070 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $1,210 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $93 | Trade → |
| $1,990 or above | 84% | 87¢ | 100¢ | — | $73 | Trade → |
| $2,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,570 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,110 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,090 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,910 or above | 0% | 84¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,930 or above | 0% | 84¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,490 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,550 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,410 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,270 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,470 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,190 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,530 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,590 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,230 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,330 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,370 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,290 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,310 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,450 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,410 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,570 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,610 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,650 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,530 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,510 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,550 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,690 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,730 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,770 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,710 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,850 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,870 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,290 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,370 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,170 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,210 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,230 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,970 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,610 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,510 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,630 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,670 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,650 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,130 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,330 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,270 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,950 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,430 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,470 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,630 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,590 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,790 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,810 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,890 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,390 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,430 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,010 or above | 0% | 91¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,690 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,350 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,390 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,490 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,670 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,830 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,310 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price bucket Ethereum will trade in at 6:00pm Eastern on March 2, 2026, providing a time‑specific snapshot of market expectations. It matters because that single timestamp captures collective views on near‑term news, liquidity, and risk that affect traders and hedgers.
Ethereum’s price behaviour reflects a mix of on‑chain fundamentals (supply changes, staking activity, layer‑2 adoption) and off‑chain forces (macroeconomic data, regulation, derivatives flows). Leading into March 2026, ongoing protocol developments, broader crypto market sentiment, and macro/regulatory announcements will all shape conditions around the settlement timestamp. Markets for ETH have historically shown episodes of rapid moves around major news and infrastructure events, so volatility around an exact timestamp is common.
Market odds here represent the collective view of participants about which price range will hold at that specific timestamp and update as new information arrives. Treat them as a real‑time market signal that incorporates liquidity and trader positioning, not as a guaranteed forecast.
The event is settled using the price source and methodology defined by the platform for this market; consult the market rules on KALSHI for the official index/exchanges, timestamp definition, and any averaging or tie‑break procedures.
The market close and settlement schedule are set by KALSHI and currently listed as TBD; check the market page and platform rules for the official trading deadline and post‑event settlement timeline.
Yes — technical failures or erroneous feeds at or near the timestamp can affect the observed price; platforms typically have dispute, fallback, or arbitration procedures described in their rulebook to handle such incidents.
A major on‑chain event (e.g., a protocol change, emergency fork, or large staking shift) can change supply expectations and risk premia, boosting volatility and shifting market expectations for that specific timestamp; the market will reprice as participants incorporate the new information.
This market offers a narrow, time‑specific way to express or hedge a view tied to the exact timestamp; spot reflects ongoing trade, futures/options provide duration and convexity differences, and liquidity/transaction costs vary — use instrument choice based on precision needed, capital, and risk management preferences.