| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,030 or above | 97% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $69K | Trade → |
| $2,070 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $32K | Trade → |
| $1,910 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| $1,990 or above | 97% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $1,950 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $1,870 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $2,190 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $2,110 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $1,830 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $2,150 or above | 4% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $2,350 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $2,270 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $900 | Trade → |
| $2,310 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $659 | Trade → |
| $1,790 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $435 | Trade → |
| $1,750 or above | 98% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $314 | Trade → |
| $1,350 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $155 | Trade → |
| $2,230 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $115 | Trade → |
| $1,550 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $105 | Trade → |
| $1,630 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $57 | Trade → |
| $1,390 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| $1,230 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| $1,470 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| $1,510 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| $1,430 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| $1,150 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| $1,310 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| $1,270 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| $2,710 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| $1,190 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| $2,510 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| $2,430 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| $2,670 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| $2,550 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| $2,630 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| $2,470 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| $2,390 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| $2,590 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| $1,710 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| $1,670 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7 | Trade → |
| $1,590 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7 | Trade → |
This market asks what the spot price of Ethereum (ETH) will be at 5:00 PM Eastern Standard Time on March 2, 2026. It matters because it aggregates trader expectations about ETH at a precise timestamp and can be used to hedge short-term exposure or express a view on near-term price moves.
Ethereum is a major smart-contract platform whose price is driven by on-chain demand, DeFi and NFT activity, macro liquidity conditions, and derivative positioning. Crypto markets are volatile and respond to network developments (upgrades, hard forks), regulatory announcements, and broader risk-on/risk-off flows in traditional markets. Short-term ETH prices can also be shaped by exchange order flow, large transfers between wallets and exchanges, and news events that shift trader sentiment.
Prices in this prediction market reflect how participants are currently valuing each outcome and will update as new information arrives. Use them as a real-time gauge of market sentiment and as the cost to take or close positions on a given outcome.
The official settlement source and methodology (for example a specific exchange, index, or consolidated feed and the exact timestamp window) will be specified on the event page or platform rules; check the event description and Kalshi's settlement policy for the named price source and any aggregation rules.
Each outcome corresponds to a defined price range or interval listed on the event page; review the outcome labels and definitions on Kalshi to see the exact price bands and which band will be considered the winning outcome at settlement.
Trading windows and any pre-set close time are determined by the platform and shown on the event page; because 'closes' is listed as TBD, verify the live event timeline on Kalshi for opening, last-trade, and suspension times before settlement.
Settlement procedures for disruptions are governed by Kalshi's force majeure and dispute rules; typically the platform will reference alternate data sources, time windows, or its dispute resolution process as described in the event terms—consult those rules for the exact fallback mechanisms.
Focus on metrics that can change short term: large exchange inflows/outflows, whale transfers, staking/unstaking events, mempool congestion, and recent block activity; combine these with order-book depth on major exchanges and calendar items (earnings, macro data, scheduled ETH-related announcements) that may influence price just before the timestamp.