| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,030 or above | 70% | 68¢ | 71¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| $2,050 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| $2,010 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| $2,070 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $2,110 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $1,990 or above | 97% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $753 | Trade → |
| $2,090 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $272 | Trade → |
| $2,130 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $111 | Trade → |
| $2,690 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $1,950 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,930 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,290 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,710 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,770 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,370 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,210 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,230 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,270 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,310 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,290 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,330 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,350 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,390 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,410 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,370 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,430 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,450 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,550 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,630 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,530 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,510 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,470 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,490 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,670 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,850 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,610 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,650 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,690 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,730 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,830 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,790 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,810 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,210 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,410 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,230 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,330 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,310 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,270 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,390 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,490 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,470 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,510 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,430 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,530 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,550 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,590 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,630 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,610 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,570 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,650 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,670 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,190 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,910 or above | 0% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,890 or above | 0% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,970 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,570 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,870 or above | 0% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,590 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,170 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range Ethereum will be trading in exactly at 3:00 PM EST on March 2, 2026 on the KALSHI platform. It matters because the market aggregates trader expectations about near-term price moves and can highlight which scenarios participants consider most likely.
Ethereum is a major smart-contract platform whose price reflects a mix of on-chain fundamentals (activity, fees, staking flows) and broader crypto and macro conditions. Since the Merge to Proof-of-Stake, supply dynamics (staking, withdrawals, EIP-1559 burn) and Layer‑2 adoption have been recurring drivers of its market behavior. Short-term price levels around a specific timestamp are often shaped by recent news, liquidity events, and volatility in correlated assets like Bitcoin.
Prediction market odds on this contract show the market-implied support for each price bucket at the time of the snapshot; they represent collective trader sentiment and change as new information arrives, not guarantees of future outcomes.
The market is divided into 75 discrete price intervals (outcomes), each representing a specific price range at the 3:00 PM EST snapshot; the event page lists the exact boundaries for each outcome so you can see which interval corresponds to different price levels.
Trading closes according to the platform's published close time or any earlier halt conditions; the final outcome is determined by the market's settlement procedure using the reference price at the specified timestamp (Mar 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM EST) per the event rules — consult the event page for the exact close policy.
The event’s settlement rules name the official reference source (an exchange, aggregator, or calculation method) and any averaging or tie‑breaking process; check the KALSHI event documentation to find the designated feed for this contract.
Positions corresponding to the outcome that contains the official settlement price will be paid out according to the platform's payout schedule and rules; losing outcome positions expire without payout — review the platform's settlement and withdrawal timelines for operational details.
Watch for large exchange inflows/withdrawals and whale trades, major regulatory announcements or court rulings affecting crypto, macro releases or central‑bank statements that shift risk sentiment, scheduled protocol or Layer‑2 upgrades/issues, and any sudden on‑chain anomalies or outages in the hours before the snapshot.