| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,030 or above | 69% | 70¢ | 72¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| $2,050 or above | 4% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| $2,010 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $2,090 or above | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $2,070 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $1,990 or above | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $326 | Trade → |
| $2,690 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| $2,230 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,130 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,870 or above | 0% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,970 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,190 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,110 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,890 or above | 0% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,430 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,310 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,850 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,370 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,550 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,390 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,770 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,450 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,170 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,490 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,790 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,490 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,670 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,810 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,570 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,270 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,410 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,230 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,530 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,390 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,210 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,310 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,630 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,350 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,470 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,510 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,590 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,670 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,710 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,830 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,270 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,330 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,430 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,410 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,510 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,470 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,590 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,550 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,630 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,290 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,530 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,650 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,610 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,910 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,730 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,690 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,290 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,930 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,570 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,610 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,330 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,370 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,650 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,950 or above | 0% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,210 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD price of Ether (ETH) will be exactly at 2:00 PM Eastern Standard Time on March 2, 2026; outcomes let traders express views on where the spot price will land at that precise timestamp. It matters because it isolates short-term price expectations and can reflect reactions to scheduled news, on‑chain events, and market liquidity around that time.
Ethereum is a major smart‑contract blockchain whose price is driven by network activity, DeFi and NFT adoption, staking dynamics, and macro risk appetite. Since the Merge (transition to proof‑of‑stake) and subsequent upgrades, on‑chain fee mechanics, staking flows, and institutional products such as ETFs/ETPs have become recurring drivers of ETH price behavior. Market structure (spot, futures, options) and regulatory announcements also influence short‑term moves leading up to specific timestamps.
Odds in this market reflect the collective view of participants about the ETH spot price at that exact timestamp and can change as new information arrives; they are not guarantees. Treat market prices as real‑time gauges of sentiment and liquidity rather than deterministic predictions.
It means the market is split into 75 discrete price ranges (outcomes) that cover different possible ETH price intervals at 2pm EST on Mar 2, 2026; each outcome represents a bracket of prices rather than a single point value. Check the market page to see the exact price boundaries for each outcome.
Settlement will use the event's designated reference price source and method specified by the contract (for example, a particular exchange index or aggregated price at that timestamp). Consult the event rules on the market page to see the exact data source and any averaging or rounding rules applied for settlement.
"Closes: TBD" indicates the market's final trading cutoff hasn't been announced yet; trading typically remains open until the exchange sets a close time, which may be shortly before settlement to allow price determination. Monitor the market page for updates about the official close and any last‑minute announcements.
Volume is one indicator of liquidity and information accumulation: lower volume can mean wider spreads and greater sensitivity to single large trades, while higher volume typically signals more robust consensus. Use volume alongside bid/ask depth and recent trade activity to assess how much weight to place on current market prices.
Yes — settlement is based on the reference price at the exact timestamp, so any news that moves markets in the minutes before 2pm EST can change the outcome. Because the market captures the snapshot at that moment, last‑minute volatility and reactions matter for this event.