| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,030 or above | 98% | 95¢ | 98¢ | — | $28K | Trade → |
| $2,050 or above | 80% | 78¢ | 81¢ | — | $25K | Trade → |
| $2,010 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| $1,990 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| $2,070 or above | 21% | 21¢ | 24¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| $1,970 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $1,950 or above | 97% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $2,110 or above | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $47 | Trade → |
| $2,090 or above | 4% | 1¢ | 5¢ | — | $38 | Trade → |
| $1,870 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,930 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,850 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,910 or above | 0% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,810 or above | 0% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,830 or above | 0% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,630 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,510 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,390 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,770 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,230 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,730 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,690 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,310 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,450 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,410 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,650 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,790 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,270 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,290 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,350 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,470 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,190 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,430 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,390 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,550 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,490 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,170 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,330 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,570 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,210 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,230 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,310 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,210 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,370 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,270 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,290 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,370 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,350 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,330 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,470 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,430 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,490 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,530 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,550 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,590 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,610 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,570 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,670 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,690 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,630 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,710 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,450 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,410 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,510 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,530 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,590 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,670 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,650 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,610 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,150 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1,890 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2,130 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD price of Ether (ETH) will be at the precise timestamp Mar 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM Eastern Standard Time. Outcomes let traders express views or hedge exposure to Ethereum’s price at that exact moment, which can matter for short-term trading, event-driven bets, and risk management.
Ethereum is the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization and remains sensitive to both crypto-specific developments (protocol upgrades, staking dynamics) and broader macro conditions (risk appetite, interest rates). Historical changes such as the Merge (transition to proof-of-stake) and EIP-1559 continue to influence supply dynamics, while regulatory moves, exchange flows, and liquidity conditions drive short-term volatility. This market reflects a snapshot expectation for a single timestamp rather than a view of longer-term fundamentals.
Prices in this prediction market aggregate traders’ expectations and new information but do not guarantee outcomes; they are real-time indicators that evolve with news and order flow. Use them alongside fundamental analysis and knowledge of the contract’s settlement rules when making decisions.
The market uses the specified local time zone: 11:00 AM Eastern Standard Time on March 2, 2026. Because US daylight saving time begins later in March 2026, that moment corresponds to 16:00 UTC. Confirm the platform’s timestamp conventions on the contract page in case of indexing or exchange-timestamp adjustments.
The contract’s settlement method and price source are defined by the event’s rules on the KALSHI page. Settlement could use an aggregated index, a primary exchange trade price, or another specified feed; check the contract details for the exact data source and aggregation window.
The 75 outcomes are discrete, mutually exclusive price buckets or specified price points that together cover a defined range. Each outcome corresponds to a single bucket; at settlement exactly one outcome will be declared true based on where the reference price falls. See the event page for the exact range boundaries and rounding rules.
Contingencies are covered in the contract rules: common approaches include using the last available price within a specified fallback window, switching to an alternative feed, or following an arbitration procedure. Review the event’s settlement provisions to see the documented fallback procedures.
The event currently lists 'Closes: TBD,' so the final trading cutoff is set by KALSHI and may be announced on the event page. Some markets close shortly before settlement to allow orderly price discovery; verify the posted close time before assuming you can trade up to exactly 11:00 AM EST.