| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to beat: $2,055.74 | 45% | 45¢ | 48¢ | — | $572 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks whether Ethereum (ETH) will be up or down over a 15-minute interval; it matters for traders who want to express or hedge very short-term views on ETH price moves.
Short-interval crypto markets capture rapid price moves driven by order flow, exchange microstructure, and news. Because this is a 15-minute market, outcomes are highly sensitive to single large trades, exchange spreads, and time-of-day effects rather than long-term fundamentals.
Market odds reflect the aggregated trading sentiment and available liquidity at any moment; for very short windows, those odds can move quickly and are noisier than longer-dated markets.
The precise start and end times are defined by the market’s rules on the platform; because the event page lists the close as TBD, check the market details on KALSHI for the scheduled window and any local timestamp conventions.
Settlement is determined using the price reference specified in the market rules (an exchange feed or index) at the end of the 15-minute window; consult the market’s settlement rules to see the exact data source, timestamp, and tie-breaking procedures.
A total volume of $572 indicates relatively light trading so far for this contract; low volume typically means wider bid-ask spreads, greater price impact from individual trades, and faster-moving odds if a single large order hits the book.
Platforms can cancel or amend markets in cases of errors, extreme events, or when settlement data is unavailable; check KALSHI’s market policy and any notices on the event page for updates specific to this market.
Monitor top-of-book prices and depth on major exchanges, any large block trades or exchange-specific anomalies, real-time news or high-profile social-media posts about ETH, and whether market data feeds are reporting consistent prices across venues.