| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to beat: $2,032.66 | 57% | 57¢ | 59¢ | — | $647 | Trade → |
This market asks whether ETH's reference price will be higher or lower over a specific 15-minute interval; it matters because it lets traders express views on immediate, short-term price moves.
Ethereum is a heavily traded cryptocurrency whose price can shift quickly in response to order flow, news, and exchange microstructure. Fifteen-minute markets isolate very short-term movement and are sensitive to intraday events and algorithmic activity. This event is offered on KALSHI and the event page shows current volume and liquidity details.
Market odds reflect the aggregate trading interest and update in real time as participants buy and sell; interpret them as a live snapshot of market sentiment rather than a guarantee of future movement.
It measures whether ETH's official reference price (per the market's rules) is higher or lower at the end of a specified 15-minute interval compared to the start of that interval.
Opening, closing, and resolution timestamps are specified on the live event page and by KALSHI; if 'Closes: TBD' appears, wait for the organizer to publish the exact interval before trading and check the official timestamp for settlement.
KALSHI determines the outcome by applying its published price source and snapshot rules to compare the start and end prices for the 15-minute window; consult the market's rulebook for tie-breaking, alternate feeds, and exception procedures.
Yes — relatively low total volume typically means limited liquidity, which can produce wider spreads and greater price impact for larger orders; traders should account for slippage and consider smaller position sizes.
Use conservative stake sizes, prefer limit orders to control execution price, verify margin and settlement rules on KALSHI, and monitor news and exchange status closely because outcomes can be driven by rapid, short-lived events.