| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to beat: $2,069.62 | 30% | 29¢ | 32¢ | — | $462 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will finish higher or lower over a specific 15-minute window; it lets traders take short, time‑bound views on immediate price moves. Short-interval markets matter because they concentrate response to breaking news, large trades, and microstructure effects into a brief, tradable horizon.
Ethereum is a liquid, globally traded crypto asset whose price can move rapidly on exchange order flow, news, and on‑chain events. Markets that test 15‑minute outcomes capture high‑frequency dynamics rather than longer-term fundamentals, so past patterns of volatility and liquidity are particularly relevant.
Odds in this market summarize the collective expectations of traders at any moment and will move as new information arrives; for a 15‑minute horizon they often reflect immediate order‑flow and short‑term sentiment more than macro fundamentals.
The market's settlement rules specify the reference price source and how the start and end prices are measured; consult the event's settlement text on KALSHI for the precise definition and any tie-break procedures.
Start and end timestamps are provided in the market details on KALSHI; the measurement window is the 15‑minute interval defined there, so check the event page for the official start time and any timezone notation.
Total volume indicates how much capital has been matched in this market; lower volume usually means thinner liquidity and greater price impact from individual trades, while higher volume generally improves tradability and price stability.
Yes — short windows are highly sensitive to transient events. A major headline, exchange outage, or a large executed order can move price enough within 15 minutes to determine whether the market settles 'Up' or 'Down.'
Some listings present one contract that pays out if the condition (e.g., 'Up') occurs; the complementary position may be implicit or represented elsewhere. Always read the payout and selection descriptions in the market details to confirm how to take either side and how settlement pays out.