| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,184.70 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether ETH will hit the $2,184.70 target as observed over a specified 15-minute measurement interval. It matters because minute-scale price milestones capture short-term volatility that affects traders, liquidity providers, and risk managers.
Ethereum is one of the largest crypto assets and its price is driven by on-chain demand, exchange order books, derivatives positioning, and broader macro liquidity conditions. Short-interval markets like this reflect intraday order flow and can react quickly to news, large transfers, or technical trading dynamics. Historical episodes of heightened volatility have produced rapid intra‑hour moves that such markets aim to capture.
Market odds aggregate participants' views about whether the event condition will be met during the specified 15-minute window; they update in real time as new information arrives and as traders adjust risk. Use odds as a consensus signal alongside your own analysis of liquidity, news, and technical factors.
The outcome depends on the event's settlement rule: whether the reference price reaches, exceeds, or is strictly above the $2,184.70 threshold during the 15-minute interval defined by the market. Check the event's settlement language on the Kalshi page for the precise condition ('at or above' vs. 'above' and any rounding rules).
The market uses a 15-minute observation interval whose exact start and end timestamps are specified in the event details on the platform. Refer to the event page for the official window and any time‑zone or timestamp conventions used for settlement.
Settlement will rely on the price feed or exchange named in the event's settlement rules on Kalshi (for example, an aggregated index or a specific exchange ticker). Always check the event page to see which data source is authoritative for this market.
Large trades can create transient spikes that may move the settlement price; exchange outages or anomalous quotes may be handled according to the platform's data-cleaning and dispute procedures. Review the platform's market‑integrity and settlement policies on the event page to understand how such anomalies are addressed.
Whether an exact match satisfies the condition depends on the event's wording (e.g., 'at or above' versus 'above'). Check the event description and settlement rules on the market page to confirm how exact-equality cases are treated and whether any rounding rules apply.