| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,181.03 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the price target of $2,181.03 within a specific 15-minute settlement window. Short-duration markets like this matter because they isolate immediate price moves and are sensitive to liquidity, news, and single large trades.
Ethereum is a highly liquid but volatile crypto asset whose minute-to-minute price can swing on macro announcements, exchange order flow, and on-chain activity. Minute-scale prediction contracts attract traders who want to express views on short-lived events (news, liquidations, exchange outages) rather than longer-term fundamentals. The market’s official schedule and settlement method are provided by the platform (KALSHI) and currently the close time is not yet scheduled.
Market odds reflect the consensus valuation of this contract given current orders and information; they update as new information arrives and as traders add or remove liquidity. Treat odds as a real-time signal of market sentiment and demand for this specific 15-minute outcome, not as a fixed forecast.
Check the market’s official contract terms on the platform: typically the outcome depends on whether the platform’s designated price index meets or exceeds the target during the defined 15-minute settlement interval. The exact definition (e.g., any tick, midpoint, or averaged reading) is specified by KALSHI in the market rules.
‘Closes: TBD’ means the settlement window has not yet been scheduled or publicly announced; the platform will post the exact start and end times and any timezone reference on the market page or in official updates when available.
The market’s rulebook lists the authoritative price sources or index composition used for settlement; platforms commonly use a composite index of major exchanges or a specific exchange feed—refer to the contract documentation for the definitive list.
In a 15-minute window, low liquidity means even a single large market order can push the price past a target temporarily; short windows are therefore more exposed to transient moves, flash crashes, and order-book depth than longer-duration markets.
Low or zero volume indicates limited on-platform liquidity and wider spreads; consider execution risk, potential difficulty exiting positions, and reliance on off-platform price movement to create tradable interest—review the order book depth and platform fees before trading.