| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,179.59 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet a $2,179.59 price target within a specified 15-minute window; it matters because short, sharp moves around a precise price level reveal immediate liquidity and sentiment in crypto markets.
ETH frequently exhibits high intraday volatility driven by macro news, on-chain flows, derivatives funding and concentrated orderbook events; minute-scale contracts like this capture those rapid dynamics rather than multi-day trends. The market record shows that 15-minute resolution windows can be sensitive to single large trades, exchange-specific ticks, and news released in the minutes before the window.
Interpret market prices here as a real-time consensus among traders about whether that 15-minute price condition will be met; they update as new information arrives and should be combined with other data (orderbooks, news, on-chain flows) when forming a view.
The event's official resolution source and any specific exchange or aggregated feed are stated in the event rules on KALSHI; those rules define which venue or index the contract uses and should be checked for the definitive source.
The contract resolves based on the contiguous 15-minute interval specified on the event page; the event details list the start and end timestamps (including time zone) that determine when price observations are collected.
Whether a single tick counts depends on the contract's resolution criteria (for example, 'at or above', 'closing price', or 'time-weighted average'); consult the event's resolution rules for how equality or single ticks are treated.
'Closes: TBD' indicates the platform has not set or disclosed the trading cutoff yet; 'Total Volume Traded: $0' means no trades have occurred so far—both imply you should monitor the event page for updates and be mindful that initial liquidity may be thin once trading opens.
Key short-term drivers include large on-chain transfers to/from exchanges, imminent liquidations in futures markets, unexpected macro releases or headlines, coordinated large spot orders, and any exchange/data-feed disruptions announced shortly before the window.