| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,179.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will trade at or around the $2,179.40 level within a defined 15‑minute interval. Short‑interval price targets are useful for traders who want to speculate on or hedge very near‑term moves in ETH's spot price.
Ethereum's spot price is driven by a mix of on‑chain flows (transfers, staking/unstaking, large wallet activity), centralized exchange order flow, macro news, and liquidity conditions that can produce rapid intraday moves. Fifteen‑minute targets emphasize market microstructure and transient liquidity imbalances more than longer‑term fundamentals. Because the market closes and settles on a short timescale, scheduled events and real‑time news can have outsized effects.
Odds on this market reflect how participants collectively view the chance that ETH will reach the specified price within a 15‑minute window and will update as new information arrives. Treat them as a real‑time indicator of market sentiment and short‑term expectations rather than as a guarantee of outcome.
The contract's official settlement rules on KALSHI define what counts as a hit (how the 15‑minute interval is measured and which price feed is used). Consult the market's rule text on the KALSHI page for the precise settlement definition.
The displayed close is currently TBD; KALSHI will publish the market's scheduled close and the timing of the 15‑minute window on the market page. Monitor the market for updates and any announced settlement times.
KALSHI's market documentation specifies the reference exchange or aggregated index used for settlement. Check the market's technical details or contact KALSHI support to confirm the exact data source.
Yes—large trades on low‑liquidity venues or anomalous prints during outages can produce short spikes that affect 15‑minute outcomes. Settlement rules may include safeguards against outliers, so review them to see how such events are handled.
A $0 volume reading typically means the market is new or has seen no matched trades yet. Low or no volume implies less price discovery and wider execution risk; consider liquidity and position sizing carefully before participating.