| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,178.93 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the price target of $2,178.93 within a specified 15-minute measurement window. It matters because short-window targets isolate very short-term price dynamics and microstructure events that can create rapid trading opportunities or risks.
ETH is a highly traded, liquid but volatile crypto whose price reacts to macro headlines, exchange order flow, derivatives activity, and on-chain events. Short 15-minute markets focus on ephemeral drivers — e.g., large orders, liquidity gaps, oracle or feed behavior — rather than longer-term fundamentals or network upgrades. Check the event page for the official settlement rules that define how the price is measured.
Prediction market odds for this event represent the market's collective view about whether the target will be hit in that 15-minute window and will move as new information arrives; they are not guarantees and resolution depends on the event's published settlement criteria.
Resolution depends on the event's settlement rules: a 'hit' typically means the official reference price used by the market shows ETH at or beyond $2,178.93 during the designated 15-minute measurement window. Consult the KALSHI event page for the precise definition and price source.
The start and end times (and timezone) of the 15-minute window are specified in the event's resolution details on KALSHI; it may be a scheduled timestamp or follow a published timing convention. Check the event page for the authoritative timing.
KALSHI will list the reference price or consolidated feed used for settlement on the event page; that declared feed or source is the definitive basis for resolution, even if other exchanges report different live prices.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the specific settlement criteria (e.g., trade vs. quote, any crossing vs. sustained price). Review the event's resolution rules on KALSHI to see if a momentary trade or quote qualifies.
Monitor the authoritative price feed named in the event, live exchange order books, derivatives indicators (open interest, funding, liquidation alerts), and fast-breaking news or on-chain spikes; these inputs tend to drive short-window price moves relevant to this market.