| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,176.12 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tests whether Ethereum (ETH) will meet a specified $2,176.12 price target during a designated 15-minute observation window on KALSHI. It matters because it lets traders express and hedge very short-term views on ETH price moves.
Ether is a highly liquid but intraday-volatile asset; 15-minute target markets isolate microstructure, short-term news, and liquidity events rather than longer-term fundamentals. Short-window events can move quickly on order-flow imbalances, exchange-specific prints, large on-chain transfers, or breaking macro/crypto headlines, and they resolve according to the exchange and methodology named on the event page.
Market odds reflect the market's collective view on whether the specified price condition will be met during the 15-minute window; because the horizon is short, odds can shift rapidly as new trades, liquidity changes, or news arrive.
Settlement is determined by the event's official observation period and the price feed(s) and methodology listed on the KALSHI event page; the designated 15-minute window and the named data sources (exchanges or indices) govern whether the target is met.
The exact observation start and end timestamps (including time zone) are set by KALSHI and will be posted on the event page; monitor that page for the confirmed schedule because no settlement can occur until the official window is published.
Zero volume means the market has no recorded trades yet; that indicates limited or no liquidity so far—expect potential wide spreads or difficulty filling large orders until counterparties appear, and consider using smaller limit orders or waiting for initial liquidity.
Monitor the aggregated spot price across major exchanges, top-of-book spreads and recent trade prints, abrupt changes in order-book depth, large on-chain transfers or stablecoin inflows, and real-time news feeds for headlines that could move price within minutes.
Yes—different exchanges can show different instantaneous prices and indices use specific formulas and exchange selections; the event resolves according to KALSHI's named sources and tie-break rules, so review the resolution methodology on the event page to understand which prices will be used.