| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,172.74 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the price target of $2,172.74 during a single 15-minute measurement window. It matters because short intraday moves can reflect liquidity shocks, news, or automated trading activity that affect traders and risk managers.
Ether is frequently subject to rapid intraday volatility driven by macro announcements, on-chain flows, and activity in derivatives markets; a 15-minute target is designed to capture brief but potentially sharp price moves rather than sustained trends. Kalshi’s listing is a short-duration, single-outcome contract that settles based on a defined price feed and measurement window; specifics about settlement timing and price sources are provided by the platform when the market moves from TBD to active.
Market prices for this contract summarize trader expectations about whether ETH will hit that exact level within the 15-minute window and will update as new information arrives. Because this is a short-window event, prices can move quickly in reaction to real-time events and the posted settlement methodology.
The precise start and end times for the 15-minute window are set by the exchange/platform as part of the contract’s settlement rules; because this listing currently shows 'Closes: TBD', the platform will publish the exact window timing before trading or settlement begins.
Settlement uses the reference price feed specified in the contract rules (for example, a composite index or a named exchange's tick); consult the market's official documentation on Kalshi for the exact data source and aggregation method.
Whether a momentary tick counts depends on the contract’s settlement definition—some short-window contracts count any trade or quote meeting the target during the window, while others use averaged or end-of-window prices; check the event’s settlement criteria for the definitive rule.
Those fields indicate the market has not yet seen trading activity and that the close/settlement timing is not yet announced; until the platform opens the market and publishes settlement details, liquidity will be limited or nonexistent.
Relevant patterns include past intraday volatility around macro events and earnings releases, the frequency and magnitude of sharp exchange-driven price spikes, and how ETH has behaved relative to Bitcoin during rapid moves; however, short 15-minute windows are inherently sensitive to idiosyncratic, unpredictable events.