| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,165.55 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will hit the price target of $2,165.55 within a specific 15-minute window. Short-duration markets like this matter because they capture ultra-short-term price dynamics and trader expectations around minute-level events.
Ether is a highly liquid crypto with frequent intraday swings driven by order flow, derivatives activity, and news. Fifteen‑minute windows are sensitive to flash moves caused by large market orders, liquidations, or major headlines rather than long-term fundamentals. This particular market is listed on KALSHI, currently shows no recorded volume, and has a single outcome; official settlement and timing details are provided by the platform.
Market odds on this contract represent the market’s real‑time assessment that ETH will reach the specified target during the 15‑minute window; they update as participants trade and new information arrives. Use these odds alongside price charts and exchange order books to gauge short‑term risk, but consult the market’s settlement rules for the definitive outcome criteria.
The official start and end times of the 15‑minute window and the settlement timestamp are specified in the market’s rules on KALSHI; consult the event page or rulebook for exact timestamps and time zone information.
Settlement typically depends on a referenced price source or index and whether the reference price reaches or exceeds the target within the window; check the market’s settlement terms on KALSHI to confirm the price feed, rounding rules, and whether bids/asks or last traded prices are used.
The closing time is listed as TBD for this market; KALSHI will announce the scheduled window and send platform notifications or updates on the event page when the market is assigned a closing time.
Yes—minute‑level events like flash crashes, exchange outages, or erroneous trades can move the reference price and affect settlement; markets often rely on defined price feeds and may have rules addressing outliers or stoppages, so review those provisions.
Concentrated derivatives positions and margin liquidations can produce sudden directional pressure in a short window; monitoring open interest, large option expiries, and funding rates can provide signals about potential near‑term squeezes that matter for a 15‑minute target.