| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,164.62 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet a specific price target at a defined 15‑minute measurement. It matters because short‑interval price targets are used by traders to express views on immediate volatility and to hedge or speculate around specific market moves.
Ether is a liquid, high‑volatility crypto asset whose short‑term price is sensitive to on‑chain activity, macro news, and order‑flow from exchanges and derivatives venues. Events such as large trades, protocol updates, macroeconomic announcements, or liquidity gaps can produce rapid minute‑scale moves that determine outcomes for short‑interval markets.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregated trading activity and sentiment about whether the stated condition will be met at settlement; they are a market‑implied view of likelihood and change as participants buy and sell shares based on new information and risk preferences.
It denotes that settlement will be based on the ETH price measured at a 15‑minute measurement point defined by the platform; the event hinges on the price at that specific interval rather than a longer time window. Check the event page or settlement rules for whether the platform uses the candle close, a timestamped quote, or an aggregated average for that 15‑minute mark.
Settlement will use the price source specified by the event on the platform; that may be a single exchange, an index, or an aggregator. Consult KALSHI's event details and settlement documentation to see the designated feed and any tie‑breaking or fallback rules.
Whether a momentary touch counts depends on the event's resolution criteria (for example, exact timestamp price, high/low during interval, or an averaged value). Refer to the event's settlement definition to learn whether instantaneous ticks, candle extremes, or a timestamped quote determine success.
The event currently lists 'Closes: TBD', so the closing time is set by the platform and may be posted or updated on the event page. Confirm the cut‑off and any pre‑settlement freeze period on KALSHI's interface or in its trading rules before placing orders.
Total volume shows how much trading has occurred so far and a zero value means no trades have been executed yet; low volume can imply wider spreads and more price impact for new orders. 'Number of outcomes: 1' indicates this market is structured around a single stated condition (a yes/no resolution or single target outcome) rather than multiple categorical choices—check the event's payoff rules for whether it resolves as a binary condition or another format.