| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,164.56 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ethereum (ETH) will reach the price target of $2,164.56 during a specified 15-minute measurement window; it matters because it lets traders express views on very short-term, intraday price moves.
Ethereum is a high-liquidity crypto asset that often shows rapid intraday swings driven by news, macro moves, and on-chain activity. Short 15-minute windows emphasize order flow, liquidity and immediate catalysts rather than longer-term fundamentals; this particular listing is sourced from KALSHI and currently shows low initial volume and a single outcome with a closing time to be announced.
Market prices on this contract reflect the collective expectation of whether that specific 15-minute condition will be met and will update as new information (news, trades, volatility) arrives; check the official market rules for how the reference price and window are defined for settlement.
The event resolves based on a 15-minute period as defined in the market's official rules and reference price feed on KALSHI; the exact start and end timestamps and the price source are specified in the listing details — consult those for the authoritative definition.
Resolution depends on whether the reference price reaches the specified $2,164.56 level during the stated 15-minute measurement window according to KALSHI's resolution criteria; check the market rules for whether a single tick, an average, or another metric is used.
The listing currently shows the market close time as TBD; KALSHI will publish the scheduled start/end times for the 15-minute window and any settlement timeline — monitor the official listing for updates.
The contract uses the reference price source specified in the market listing on KALSHI, which may be an exchange index or aggregated feed; confirm that source in the event details because different feeds can diverge briefly during volatile moves.
Short windows are most sensitive to sudden catalysts: major macro releases, large block trades or exchange withdrawals, flash liquidity gaps in the order book, on-chain transaction spikes, and rapid sentiment shifts around technical levels.