| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,162.53 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will trade at or above $2,162.53 during a specific 15-minute window. It matters for traders who want to express or hedge views about short-term ETH price moves and for anyone monitoring intraday market stress or event-driven volatility.
Short-duration price-target markets focus attention on minute-scale moves that can be driven by news, order flow, or technical dynamics rather than longer-term fundamentals. Ethereum is frequently subject to rapid intraday swings from macro headlines, large on-chain transactions, derivatives liquidations, and exchange microstructure, all of which make 15-minute targets distinctly different from daily or weekly markets. The market shows 'Closes: TBD'—check the platform for the official trading window and resolution details.
Odds in this market represent the aggregate view of active traders at a given moment and update as new information arrives; treat them as a live indicator of market sentiment and not as a prediction set in stone. Because this is a very short time horizon, odds can move quickly in response to minute-by-minute events.
Resolution mechanics (which price source, whether the price must equal or exceed the target, and the exact 15-minute timestamp) are defined in the market rules on the KALSHI event page; consult that page for the authoritative resolution specification.
The market's official rules on the KALSHI page list the designated price feed or exchange(s) used for settlement; check that section because different short-duration markets may rely on a consolidated index or a specific venue.
If the market shows 'Closes: TBD', KALSHI will publish the open and close times on the market page or via platform announcements—monitor the listing for updates and any notifications about the trading window.
Likely catalysts include breaking macro or crypto-specific news, large unilateral blocks of sell or buy orders, sudden derivatives liquidations, or exchange and index anomalies that create rapid price movement in a short interval.
Use it for targeted, short-horizon views or to hedge minute-scale exposure, size positions for the high volatility of very short windows, plan for rapid entry/exit and slippage, and confirm settlement rules and price source before taking a position.