| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,162.46 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the spot price of Ether (ETH) will reach the $2,162.46 level within a specified 15‑minute window. It matters because short intraday windows capture high‑frequency risk and can be used for very targeted hedging or event-driven speculation.
Ethereum’s price moves on a mix of crypto‑specific drivers (protocol upgrades, on‑chain activity, DeFi flows) and broader macro factors (risk appetite, interest‑rate expectations, dollar strength). Fifteen‑minute contracts isolate brief, high‑volatility intervals, so historical context like recent intraday volatility and known upcoming announcements can be especially important. This contract is offered on KALSHI; consult the market page for exact settlement reference and timestamps.
Odds in this market reflect collective trader beliefs about whether ETH will hit the $2,162.46 level during the designated 15‑minute interval and will update as new information arrives. They are a real‑time consensus signal, not a guarantee; assess them alongside your own research and risk limits.
The market will specify a concrete start timestamp for the 15‑minute interval (including timezone); the contract is evaluated using that defined start and end. Check the KALSHI market page or contract specs to see the exact timestamp.
Settlement uses the reference price defined in the market’s terms (an exchange or consolidated index). The KALSHI market description lists the precise price feed and any averaging rules—review that before trading.
Settlement typically occurs after the 15‑minute window closes once the exchange aggregates the reference price per its rules; the market page will state the expected settlement timing and any dispute or review process.
Events that can cause abrupt crossings include large block trades or liquidations, sudden macro news releases, exchange order‑book shocks, and significant on‑chain activity or network incidents that affect liquidity and sentiment.
Traders use short‑duration target markets for tactical hedges, event‑driven bets, or to express views on imminent volatility; because the window is short, strategies should account for execution risk, slippage, and the potential for rapid reversals.