| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,162.45 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the price level $2,162.45 within a specific 15-minute interval. Short-window price targets matter to traders because they reflect expectations about intraday volatility and immediate market reaction to news or large flows.
Ether is a highly liquid but sometimes volatile crypto asset; minute-to-minute moves can be driven by order-book imbalances, derivatives liquidations, or sudden news. Fifteen-minute windows are designed to capture short-lived spikes or drops that broader daily markets can smooth over, so these contracts are sensitive to high-frequency trading and exchange-specific events. The market’s close and exact settlement method are set by the platform (KALSHI) and listed on the event page.
Market odds are a live consensus of how traders currently view the chance of the target being hit in that 15-minute window; they move as new information arrives. Use odds as an up-to-the-minute signal of market sentiment, not as a guarantee of outcome.
It refers to a contiguous 15-minute interval used to determine whether the ETH price hits the $2,162.45 target; the platform defines how intervals are anchored and when the window can occur, so consult the event rules for the precise timing convention.
Settlement uses the price feed or exchange reference specified by the market host (KALSHI); that feed determines the reported price during the 15-minute window, and the host’s rulebook explains whether settlement looks at trade prints, mid-prices, or an aggregated index.
Many short-window markets consider any instance during the 15-minute window when the reference price equals the target as meeting the condition, but exact requirements (e.g., trade vs. quote, minimum duration) are defined in the event’s settlement rules—check those for confirmation.
Common drivers include abrupt macro headlines, exchange or infrastructure outages, large block trades or liquidations, coordinated order-flow from market makers, and urgent on-chain activity such as massive token migrations or transfers to/from exchanges.
The event lists its close as TBD; the platform will update the start/close times on the event page and publish the official resolution and settlement details after the designated window; traders receive the outcome and any payouts per the host’s rules.