| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,162.26 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will trade at the target price of $2,162.26 during a specific 15-minute interval. It matters because short windows magnify the importance of minute-by-minute liquidity and volatility for traders focused on very short-term price moves.
Ether's price moves continuously on many venues, and markets that focus on narrow time windows isolate the influence of intraday order flow, news, and microstructure. Historical context includes episodes where minute-scale drivers—large market orders, liquidations, exchange outages, or sudden news—produced fast moves that reached or missed tight price targets. Because the event closes are listed as TBD, the exact settlement window and feed may be specified on the platform before trading begins.
Prediction market prices reflect traders' collective views about the likelihood of the outcome within the defined settlement rules; they should be read as real-time consensus sentiment, not guarantees. For this event, changes in the market price will often reflect new information about minute-scale liquidity and major order flow rather than long-term fundamentals.
Resolution depends on the event's settlement rules on KALSHI: typically the price must equal or exceed (or touch, depending on wording) $2,162.26 within the specified 15-minute window as measured by the platform's designated price feed and timestamping. Check the event page for the precise settlement condition and the official data source that will be used.
When the platform sets the close time, it will specify the exact 15-minute interval (start and end timestamps and time zone) and any pre-market notice. Monitor the event page and platform notifications—KALSHI typically publishes the scheduled settlement window and any final rules before trading begins or before the market closes.
The event will resolve according to the price feed and exchange(s) named in the market's settlement rules on KALSHI. That information is included on the event page; if multiple venues or an index are used, the platform will describe how the quoted price is constructed and which timestamps apply.
KALSHI's event rules usually include contingency procedures for anomalous data or venue outages—these can involve using an alternative feed, a backup timestamp, or a predefined arbitration process. Review the event's resolution policy to see how such edge cases are handled for this market.
Watch real-time order-book depth and spreads on major ETH venues, funding-rate moves and open interest on derivatives platforms, imminent macro or crypto news releases, on-chain metrics for large transfers or whale activity, and alerts for exchange maintenance or outages—all of which can change the odds that ETH will hit the target within a 15-minute window.