| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,161.43 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will meet a $2,161.43 price target within a 15‑minute window; it lets traders take a short‑horizon view on immediate price moves. Short‑interval markets matter because they concentrate event and order‑flow risk into a very brief settlement period, which can produce rapid changes in market pricing.
Ether is traded across multiple venues and is subject to high intraday volatility driven by crypto‑specific news, macro announcements, and on‑chain flows. Fifteen‑minute markets are typically dominated by order‑book dynamics and transient drivers (liquidations, block‑level transfers, exchange activity) rather than long‑term fundamentals. Settlement mechanics and data sources from the platform (KALSHI for this event) determine exactly how the target is evaluated.
Market odds are an aggregation of trader beliefs about whether ETH will reach the stated price during the 15‑minute interval; because this is a very short horizon, odds can move quickly as new orders or news arrive. Use odds as a real‑time sentiment indicator rather than a long‑term forecast for ETH.
It refers to a defined 15‑minute settlement window during which the platform will check whether ETH reached the $2,161.43 threshold. The event description or settlement rules will specify the exact start and end timestamps and how the price within that interval is measured.
The event’s settlement source is specified in the market documentation on KALSHI; common approaches include a consolidated index, a specific exchange ticker, or a timestamped trade price. Check the event page or KALSHI’s settlement rules for the authoritative source.
It means no trades have executed in the market so far. That can imply low liquidity or that the market was recently created; low volume can increase spreads and slippage for participants.
Contingency procedures for outages are determined by KALSHI’s settlement rules and may include using an alternative data source, delaying settlement, or applying a predefined fallback. Review the platform’s event‑specific terms or contact KALSHI support for the exact procedure.
Use small position sizes, prefer limit orders to control execution price, monitor relevant news and order‑book depth closely, and be prepared for rapid price swings and potential slippage given the very short time horizon.