| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,161.15 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the price target of $2,161.15 during a specified 15-minute measurement window; it matters to traders and hedgers who care about short, sharp price moves rather than longer-term trends.
Ethereum is a liquid but volatile digital asset whose minute-to-minute price is driven by orderflow, derivatives activity, macro headlines, and on‑chain events. Short-interval targets capture microstructure effects—exchange liquidity, large trades, and sudden news—that can move price briefly even when broader trends are unchanged.
Prediction market prices represent the market's collective assessment of the likelihood this price touch will occur in the 15-minute window; they update as new information arrives and should be used as one real-time input among many when making trading decisions.
Resolution follows the market's official rules on the KALSHI listing; those rules specify the authoritative price source (for example a particular exchange or an aggregated index) and any tie-break or timestamp conventions, so check the market details for the definitive answer.
The market listing should include the scheduled start and end times; because this particular market shows the closing time as TBD, the exact window has not been published yet—monitor the KALSHI market page for the official schedule.
Whether a single-exchange print counts depends on the market's specified data feed: if the market uses that exchange as its source, the print typically counts; if it uses a consolidated index, an isolated print may not move the index enough—consult the market rules to know which treatment applies.
Markets differ—many use executed trade prints for resolution while others may use last traded price or mid‑quotes; check the event's resolution criteria on KALSHI to confirm whether quotes, trades, or a specified tick type determine the outcome.
Traders can monitor order-book liquidity at the target price, stagger or hedge positions using futures or options, avoid holding large one-sided exposure into known announcements, and follow exchange notices to reduce the risk of sudden, exchange-specific price moves during the measurement window.