| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,161.01 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the $2,161.01 price level within a specified 15-minute interval. It matters because short intraday moves can be driven by news, liquidity events, and trader positioning, making 15-minute target markets useful for short-term sentiment and risk management.
ETH is a highly traded crypto asset with frequent intraday volatility driven by macro headlines, exchange flows, derivatives activity, and on-chain developments. Historically, minute-to-minute price behavior can show sharp spikes or drops around liquidity gaps, major trades, or protocol news, so a 15-minute window can capture transient but decisive moves. Markets like this compress those drivers into a narrowly defined outcome that resolves based on a short reference period.
Market prices on the platform represent the collective expectations of participants about whether the $2,161.01 threshold will be met during the 15-minute window and update as new information arrives. Use those prices as a real-time sentiment indicator, while consulting the platform’s official resolution rules for how the price is measured.
Resolution depends on the platform’s published settlement rule for this contract; typically it requires the official reference price used by the platform to reach or cross the $2,161.01 level at one or more sample points within the defined 15-minute interval. Consult the event’s resolution rules page for the precise condition (touch vs. sustained level, sampling frequency, and tie-breaking).
The start and end times for the 15-minute interval will be specified by the platform and posted on the event page prior to settlement; for markets marked 'Closes: TBD' the exact interval and closing time will be announced by the exchange and should be checked on the event listing when available.
KALSHI uses its own designated reference price methodology for settlement; the event’s terms will identify the specific price feed or index and how intraperiod samples are taken. Always verify the listed reference sources on the event page before trading.
Yes—if the platform’s settlement method counts intra-interval ticks or sampling points, brief spikes can trigger resolution. Traders should assess order book depth, potential for sudden flows, and the sampling/resolution granularity described in the event rules to gauge exposure to transient moves.
Final settlement timing, the defined 15-minute interval, and any post-event price or methodology disclosures will appear on the event page and in the platform’s official documentation or announcements; subscribe to updates or check the listing regularly to receive the published details before the market resolves.